Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the high 37% to low 39% range, aligning closely with the market's heaviest weighting on the 38.0–38.4 bucket. Persistent effects from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, including elevated fuel prices and broader economic dissatisfaction, have kept ratings under pressure, with several late-August and early-September surveys recording new lows near or below 35%. Aggregators such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and the New York Times show stable but negative net approval around -18 to -20 points through September 8. With only two days until the September 11 measurement and no scheduled events expected to produce an immediate shift, traders have converged on the narrow band that matches the prevailing trend.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour38,0–38,4 52%
38,5–38,9 29%
37,5–37,9 16%
39,0–39,4 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
<37,5
<1%
37,5–37,9
16%
38,0–38,4
52%
38,5–38,9
29%
39,0–39,4
7%
39,5+
1%
38,0–38,4 52%
38,5–38,9 29%
37,5–37,9 16%
39,0–39,4 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
11 sept. 2026
<37,5
$697 Vol.
<1%
37,5–37,9
$896 Vol.
16%
38,0–38,4
$2,011 Vol.
52%
38,5–38,9
$1,338 Vol.
29%
39,0–39,4
$650 Vol.
7%
39,5+
$312 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the high 37% to low 39% range, aligning closely with the market's heaviest weighting on the 38.0–38.4 bucket. Persistent effects from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, including elevated fuel prices and broader economic dissatisfaction, have kept ratings under pressure, with several late-August and early-September surveys recording new lows near or below 35%. Aggregators such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and the New York Times show stable but negative net approval around -18 to -20 points through September 8. With only two days until the September 11 measurement and no scheduled events expected to produce an immediate shift, traders have converged on the narrow band that matches the prevailing trend.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Marché ouvert : Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volume
$5,904Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the high 37% to low 39% range, aligning closely with the market's heaviest weighting on the 38.0–38.4 bucket. Persistent effects from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, including elevated fuel prices and broader economic dissatisfaction, have kept ratings under pressure, with several late-August and early-September surveys recording new lows near or below 35%. Aggregators such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and the New York Times show stable but negative net approval around -18 to -20 points through September 8. With only two days until the September 11 measurement and no scheduled events expected to produce an immediate shift, traders have converged on the narrow band that matches the prevailing trend.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$5,904Date de fin
11 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling aggregates place President Trump's job approval in the high 37% to low 39% range, aligning closely with the market's heaviest weighting on the 38.0–38.4 bucket. Persistent effects from the ongoing U.S.-Iran conflict, including elevated fuel prices and broader economic dissatisfaction, have kept ratings under pressure, with several late-August and early-September surveys recording new lows near or below 35%. Aggregators such as RealClearPolitics, Silver Bulletin, and the New York Times show stable but negative net approval around -18 to -20 points through September 8. With only two days until the September 11 measurement and no scheduled events expected to produce an immediate shift, traders have converged on the narrow band that matches the prevailing trend.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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