Democratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms represents the central catalyst behind the 63% trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029. Multiple Democratic lawmakers have introduced articles citing obstruction, foreign policy conduct, and other alleged high crimes, though Republican majorities have tabled prior resolutions. Trump has publicly linked GOP midterm losses to renewed impeachment risk, while recent Iran-related tensions prompted additional calls for House action or 25th Amendment invocation. Senate conviction remains improbable without broader bipartisan support, yet traders price the House threshold as reachable if seat gains materialize, consistent with historical patterns where unified opposition parties pursue impeachment when holding the chamber.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTrump sera-t-il destitué avant la fin de son mandat ?
Trump sera-t-il destitué avant la fin de son mandat ?
Oui
63% chance
$89,702 Vol.
$89,702 Vol.
20 janv. 2029
Oui
63% chance
$89,702 Vol.
$89,702 Vol.
20 janv. 2029
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms represents the central catalyst behind the 63% trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029. Multiple Democratic lawmakers have introduced articles citing obstruction, foreign policy conduct, and other alleged high crimes, though Republican majorities have tabled prior resolutions. Trump has publicly linked GOP midterm losses to renewed impeachment risk, while recent Iran-related tensions prompted additional calls for House action or 25th Amendment invocation. Senate conviction remains improbable without broader bipartisan support, yet traders price the House threshold as reachable if seat gains materialize, consistent with historical patterns where unified opposition parties pursue impeachment when holding the chamber.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Marché ouvert : Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ET
Volume
$89,702Date de fin
20 janv. 2029Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.Democratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms represents the central catalyst behind the 63% trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029. Multiple Democratic lawmakers have introduced articles citing obstruction, foreign policy conduct, and other alleged high crimes, though Republican majorities have tabled prior resolutions. Trump has publicly linked GOP midterm losses to renewed impeachment risk, while recent Iran-related tensions prompted additional calls for House action or 25th Amendment invocation. Senate conviction remains improbable without broader bipartisan support, yet traders price the House threshold as reachable if seat gains materialize, consistent with historical patterns where unified opposition parties pursue impeachment when holding the chamber.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$89,702Date de fin
20 janv. 2029Marché ouvert
Mar 19, 2026, 2:04 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Democratic control of the House after the November 2026 midterms represents the central catalyst behind the 63% trader consensus for impeachment before January 2029. Multiple Democratic lawmakers have introduced articles citing obstruction, foreign policy conduct, and other alleged high crimes, though Republican majorities have tabled prior resolutions. Trump has publicly linked GOP midterm losses to renewed impeachment risk, while recent Iran-related tensions prompted additional calls for House action or 25th Amendment invocation. Senate conviction remains improbable without broader bipartisan support, yet traders price the House threshold as reachable if seat gains materialize, consistent with historical patterns where unified opposition parties pursue impeachment when holding the chamber.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes