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icon for Élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin : participation
Politique·Gouverneur à Mi-parcours

Élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin : participation

icon for Élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin : participation
Politique·Gouverneur à Mi-parcours

Élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin : participation

2,8M-3M 44%

2,2M-2,4M 44%

3M-3,2M 44%

2,4M-2,6M 43%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

2,8M-3M 44%

2,2M-2,4M 44%

3M-3,2M 44%

2,4M-2,6M 43%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

<2,2M

$0 Vol.

42%

2,2M-2,4M

$0 Vol.

44%

2,4M-2,6M

$0 Vol.

43%

2,6M-2,8M

$0 Vol.

42%

2,8M-3M

$0 Vol.

44%

3M-3,2M

$0 Vol.

44%

3,2M+

$0 Vol.

43%

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of probabilities around 2.2M–3.2M votes in the Wisconsin governor race reflects uncertainty over midterm turnout in a competitive open-seat contest. David Crowley's narrow Democratic primary win and Tom Tiffany's Republican nomination have produced early polls showing a close general election matchup, prompting both campaigns to launch significant ad spending and voter mobilization. Wisconsin's history of elevated participation—second-highest nationally in 2024—combined with recent Democratic primary turnout exceeding 790,000 ballots supports trader focus on strong engagement, yet midterm base rates and variables such as weather, early voting patterns, and national political climate keep ranges tightly bunched. Scheduled debates and fall ground efforts could shift these implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The tight clustering of probabilities around 2.2M–3.2M votes in the Wisconsin governor race reflects uncertainty over midterm turnout in a competitive open-seat contest. David Crowley's narrow Democratic primary win and Tom Tiffany's Republican nomination have produced early polls showing a close general election matchup, prompting both campaigns to launch significant ad spending and voter mobilization. Wisconsin's history of elevated participation—second-highest nationally in 2024—combined with recent Democratic primary turnout exceeding 790,000 ballots supports trader focus on strong engagement, yet midterm base rates and variables such as weather, early voting patterns, and national political climate keep ranges tightly bunched. Scheduled debates and fall ground efforts could shift these implied probabilities.

This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 18, 2026, 10:27 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket. All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included. Invalidated or blank votes are not included. In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official results of the 2026 midterm election for Governor of Wisconsin, as published by the state electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Connexes

icon for Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de Pennsylvanie sera-t-il de 6 500 000 ou plus ?

Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors de l'élection de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de Pennsylvanie sera-t-il de 6 500 000 ou plus ?

45%
Oui
icon for Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de Californie sera-t-il compris entre 11 500 000 et 12 000 000 ?

Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de Californie sera-t-il compris entre 11 500 000 et 12 000 000 ?

42%
Oui
icon for Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de l'Arizona sera-t-il compris entre 2 600 000 et 2 750 000 ?

Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de gouverneur de l'Arizona sera-t-il compris entre 2 600 000 et 2 750 000 ?

43%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin : participation » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « 2,8M-3M » à 45%, suivi de « 2,2M-2,4M » à 44%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin : participation » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 18, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin : participation », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin : participation » est « 2,8M-3M » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « 2,2M-2,4M » à 44%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin : participation » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.