Recent UK CPI data shows inflation holding at 2.8% in May 2026, down from 3.3% in March, with core measures easing further amid softer housing and food components. However, the Bank of England’s April 2026 Monetary Policy Report revised near-term projections higher, citing Middle East energy price shocks that could lift CPI to around 3.5% or more by year-end before moderating toward the 2% target. Forecasters remain split: some project an annual 2026 average near 2.7–3.0% if labor market slack and base effects dominate, while others see risks of 3.5–4%+ if second-round effects from fuel costs persist or escalate. This uncertainty, compounded by the Bank Rate at 3.75% and upcoming data releases, underpins the tight market split between the 2.5–2.9% and 4.0–4.4% ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourInflation annuelle au Royaume-Uni 2026
Inflation annuelle au Royaume-Uni 2026
4,0-4,4 % 19%
2,5–2,9 % 17.3%
4,5 % + 11%
2,0–2,4 % 1.9%
$13,038 Vol.
$13,038 Vol.
20 janv. 2027
<1,0 %
<1%
1,0–1,4 %
1%
1,5–1,9 %
1%
2,0–2,4 %
2%
2,5–2,9 %
10%
3,0–3,4 %
-
3,5–3,9 %
27%
4,0-4,4 %
19%
4,5 % +
11%
4,0-4,4 % 19%
2,5–2,9 % 17.3%
4,5 % + 11%
2,0–2,4 % 1.9%
$13,038 Vol.
$13,038 Vol.
20 janv. 2027
<1,0 %
$851 Vol.
<1%
1,0–1,4 %
$381 Vol.
1%
1,5–1,9 %
$541 Vol.
1%
2,0–2,4 %
$389 Vol.
2%
2,5–2,9 %
$632 Vol.
10%
3,0–3,4 %
$0 Vol.
-
3,5–3,9 %
$742 Vol.
27%
4,0-4,4 %
$3,199 Vol.
19%
4,5 % +
$6,302 Vol.
11%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent UK CPI data shows inflation holding at 2.8% in May 2026, down from 3.3% in March, with core measures easing further amid softer housing and food components. However, the Bank of England’s April 2026 Monetary Policy Report revised near-term projections higher, citing Middle East energy price shocks that could lift CPI to around 3.5% or more by year-end before moderating toward the 2% target. Forecasters remain split: some project an annual 2026 average near 2.7–3.0% if labor market slack and base effects dominate, while others see risks of 3.5–4%+ if second-round effects from fuel costs persist or escalate. This uncertainty, compounded by the Bank Rate at 3.75% and upcoming data releases, underpins the tight market split between the 2.5–2.9% and 4.0–4.4% ranges.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Marché ouvert : Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$13,038Date de fin
20 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent UK CPI data shows inflation holding at 2.8% in May 2026, down from 3.3% in March, with core measures easing further amid softer housing and food components. However, the Bank of England’s April 2026 Monetary Policy Report revised near-term projections higher, citing Middle East energy price shocks that could lift CPI to around 3.5% or more by year-end before moderating toward the 2% target. Forecasters remain split: some project an annual 2026 average near 2.7–3.0% if labor market slack and base effects dominate, while others see risks of 3.5–4%+ if second-round effects from fuel costs persist or escalate. This uncertainty, compounded by the Bank Rate at 3.75% and upcoming data releases, underpins the tight market split between the 2.5–2.9% and 4.0–4.4% ranges.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Volume
$13,038Date de fin
20 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent UK CPI data shows inflation holding at 2.8% in May 2026, down from 3.3% in March, with core measures easing further amid softer housing and food components. However, the Bank of England’s April 2026 Monetary Policy Report revised near-term projections higher, citing Middle East energy price shocks that could lift CPI to around 3.5% or more by year-end before moderating toward the 2% target. Forecasters remain split: some project an annual 2026 average near 2.7–3.0% if labor market slack and base effects dominate, while others see risks of 3.5–4%+ if second-round effects from fuel costs persist or escalate. This uncertainty, compounded by the Bank Rate at 3.75% and upcoming data releases, underpins the tight market split between the 2.5–2.9% and 4.0–4.4% ranges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes