Recent UK CPI data show inflation rising to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June, driven primarily by higher energy costs following the Ofgem price cap increase and elevated global oil and gas prices tied to Middle East tensions. The Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a further near-term pickup to around 3.2% by late 2026 before easing, with risks tilted to the upside from potential second-round effects in wages and prices. This environment supports the close contest between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.0–2.4% brackets in trader-implied probabilities, as markets weigh the persistence of the energy shock against underlying disinflation in core goods and services. Key upcoming releases include August CPI on September 16 and the next BoE rate decision, which could clarify the path for the full-year 2026 average.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourInflation annuelle au Royaume-Uni 2026
Inflation annuelle au Royaume-Uni 2026
3,5–3,9 % 27.4%
2,0–2,4 % 24.6%
2,5–2,9 % 11.3%
4,5 % + 8%
$91,184 Vol.
$91,184 Vol.
19 janv. 2027
<1,0 %
<1%
1,0–1,4 %
3%
1,5–1,9 %
7%
2,0–2,4 %
25%
2,5–2,9 %
11%
3,0–3,4 %
-
3,5–3,9 %
27%
4,0-4,4 %
2%
4,5 % +
8%
3,5–3,9 % 27.4%
2,0–2,4 % 24.6%
2,5–2,9 % 11.3%
4,5 % + 8%
$91,184 Vol.
$91,184 Vol.
19 janv. 2027
<1,0 %
$945 Vol.
<1%
1,0–1,4 %
$1,437 Vol.
3%
1,5–1,9 %
$2,642 Vol.
7%
2,0–2,4 %
$8,638 Vol.
25%
2,5–2,9 %
$22,536 Vol.
11%
3,0–3,4 %
$0 Vol.
-
3,5–3,9 %
$37,547 Vol.
27%
4,0-4,4 %
$8,462 Vol.
2%
4,5 % +
$8,978 Vol.
8%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent UK CPI data show inflation rising to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June, driven primarily by higher energy costs following the Ofgem price cap increase and elevated global oil and gas prices tied to Middle East tensions. The Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a further near-term pickup to around 3.2% by late 2026 before easing, with risks tilted to the upside from potential second-round effects in wages and prices. This environment supports the close contest between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.0–2.4% brackets in trader-implied probabilities, as markets weigh the persistence of the energy shock against underlying disinflation in core goods and services. Key upcoming releases include August CPI on September 16 and the next BoE rate decision, which could clarify the path for the full-year 2026 average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Marché ouvert : Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$91,184Date de fin
20 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendarRecent UK CPI data show inflation rising to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June, driven primarily by higher energy costs following the Ofgem price cap increase and elevated global oil and gas prices tied to Middle East tensions. The Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a further near-term pickup to around 3.2% by late 2026 before easing, with risks tilted to the upside from potential second-round effects in wages and prices. This environment supports the close contest between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.0–2.4% brackets in trader-implied probabilities, as markets weigh the persistence of the energy shock against underlying disinflation in core goods and services. Key upcoming releases include August CPI on September 16 and the next BoE rate decision, which could clarify the path for the full-year 2026 average.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the U.K. over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the Office for National Statistics (ONS).
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly ONS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the ONS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases), currently scheduled to be released on January 20, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by choosing the report for the relevant month from the previous releases page for price indices on the ONS website (https://www.ons.gov.uk/economy/inflationandpriceindices/bulletins/consumerpriceinflation/previousreleases). The relevant figure can be found in the "Consumer price inflation rates" table under the column labeled "CPI 12-month rate (%)" for the relevant month.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly ONS CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www.ons.gov.uk/releasecalendar
Volume
$91,184Date de fin
20 janv. 2027Marché ouvert
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Recent UK CPI data show inflation rising to 2.9% in July 2026 from 2.6% in June, driven primarily by higher energy costs following the Ofgem price cap increase and elevated global oil and gas prices tied to Middle East tensions. The Bank of England’s July Monetary Policy Report projects a further near-term pickup to around 3.2% by late 2026 before easing, with risks tilted to the upside from potential second-round effects in wages and prices. This environment supports the close contest between the 3.5–3.9% and 2.0–2.4% brackets in trader-implied probabilities, as markets weigh the persistence of the energy shock against underlying disinflation in core goods and services. Key upcoming releases include August CPI on September 16 and the next BoE rate decision, which could clarify the path for the full-year 2026 average.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes