Recent labor market data releases have kept September nonfarm payrolls expectations subdued, with trader consensus pricing the highest implied probabilities around modest gains of 0-100k amid signs of cooling demand. Mixed signals from initial jobless claims, ADP private payroll figures, and revisions to prior months have created a tight distribution across low-positive and near-flat outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the slowdown will persist into the final quarter. Key upcoming catalysts include the September jobs report itself and any interim high-frequency indicators that could shift Fed rate path expectations or Treasury yield benchmarks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCombien d'emplois ont été ajoutés en septembre ?
50 000 à 100 000 26%
100 000 à 150 000 23%
0 à 50 000 20%
-50 000 à 0 13%
<-50k
9%
-50 000 à 0
13%
0 à 50 000
20%
50 000 à 100 000
26%
100 000 à 150 000
23%
150k à 200k
5%
200k+
5%
50 000 à 100 000 26%
100 000 à 150 000 23%
0 à 50 000 20%
-50 000 à 0 13%
<-50k
9%
-50 000 à 0
13%
0 à 50 000
20%
50 000 à 100 000
26%
100 000 à 150 000
23%
150k à 200k
5%
200k+
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Marché ouvert : Sep 4, 2026, 12:37 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The BLS "Employment Situation Summary" may be found here: https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htm
Source de résolution
https://www.bls.gov/bls/newsrels.htmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent labor market data releases have kept September nonfarm payrolls expectations subdued, with trader consensus pricing the highest implied probabilities around modest gains of 0-100k amid signs of cooling demand. Mixed signals from initial jobless claims, ADP private payroll figures, and revisions to prior months have created a tight distribution across low-positive and near-flat outcomes, reflecting uncertainty over whether the slowdown will persist into the final quarter. Key upcoming catalysts include the September jobs report itself and any interim high-frequency indicators that could shift Fed rate path expectations or Treasury yield benchmarks.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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