South Korea’s 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects trader focus on the recent moderation from the June 2026 peak of 3.2% to 2.8% in July, alongside Bank of Korea projections of 2.7% for the full year and upward revisions by the finance ministry to 2.6%. Persistent upward pressures from higher oil prices, core inflation at 2.6%, wage growth, and robust semiconductor-driven GDP growth near 3.0% support the clustering of implied odds between 2.7–2.9% and 3.0% or higher. The BOK’s July rate hike to 2.75% and signals of further tightening underscore concerns that inflation will stay above the 2% target for an extended period, while the closely matched probabilities around 2.4–3.0% highlight uncertainty over whether the latest cooling in transport and food components will persist through year-end data releases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour2,7 % à 2,9 % 32.8%
3,0 % + 28.6%
2,4 % à 2,6 % 22.8%
2,1 % à 2,3 % 13.6%
$31,216 Vol.
$31,216 Vol.
<1,5 %
4%
1,5 % à 1,7 %
3%
1,8 % à 2,0 %
1%
2,1 % à 2,3 %
14%
2,4 % à 2,6 %
23%
2,7 % à 2,9 %
33%
3,0 % +
29%
2,7 % à 2,9 % 32.8%
3,0 % + 28.6%
2,4 % à 2,6 % 22.8%
2,1 % à 2,3 % 13.6%
$31,216 Vol.
$31,216 Vol.
<1,5 %
4%
1,5 % à 1,7 %
3%
1,8 % à 2,0 %
1%
2,1 % à 2,3 %
14%
2,4 % à 2,6 %
23%
2,7 % à 2,9 %
33%
3,0 % +
29%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Marché ouvert : Feb 6, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in South Korea’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 (December CPI % change compared to the same month of the previous year), according to the monthly MODS Consumer Price Survey report for the specified month.
The resolution source for this market will be the MODS Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on December 31, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The relevant report will be made available upon release at: https://mods.go.kr/board.es?mid=a20109020000&bid=11751&eng_board_type=01
Note: This market’s resolution source reports percentage change in the South Korean Consumer Price Index to only one decimal point (e.g. 2.0%). Thus this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving this market. For the full release schedule, see: https://mods.go.kr/schdl.es?mid=a20301000000
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Korea’s 2026 annual CPI inflation market reflects trader focus on the recent moderation from the June 2026 peak of 3.2% to 2.8% in July, alongside Bank of Korea projections of 2.7% for the full year and upward revisions by the finance ministry to 2.6%. Persistent upward pressures from higher oil prices, core inflation at 2.6%, wage growth, and robust semiconductor-driven GDP growth near 3.0% support the clustering of implied odds between 2.7–2.9% and 3.0% or higher. The BOK’s July rate hike to 2.75% and signals of further tightening underscore concerns that inflation will stay above the 2% target for an extended period, while the closely matched probabilities around 2.4–3.0% highlight uncertainty over whether the latest cooling in transport and food components will persist through year-end data releases.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes