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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras
Politique·Royaume-Uni

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras
Politique·Royaume-Uni

Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras

James White 48%

Richard Olszewski 35%

Georgia Gould 24%

Zack Polanski 24%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

James White 48%

Richard Olszewski 35%

Georgia Gould 24%

Zack Polanski 24%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for James White

James White

$60 Vol.

48%

icon for Richard Olszewski

Richard Olszewski

$60 Vol.

35%

icon for Georgia Gould

Georgia Gould

$60 Vol.

24%

icon for Zack Polanski

Zack Polanski

$604 Vol.

44%

icon for Sagal Abdi-Wali

Sagal Abdi-Wali

$118 Vol.

24%

icon for Hamza Chowdhury

Hamza Chowdhury

$80 Vol.

11%

icon for Pat Callaghan

Pat Callaghan

$60 Vol.

6%

icon for Gio Spinella

Gio Spinella

$60 Vol.

6%

icon for Keith Moffitt

Keith Moffitt

$60 Vol.

6%

icon for Luisa Porritt

Luisa Porritt

$60 Vol.

6%

icon for David Stansell

David Stansell

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for Sarah Pochin

Sarah Pochin

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for Tricia Leman

Tricia Leman

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for David Roberts

David Roberts

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for Oliver Cooper

Oliver Cooper

$60 Vol.

4%

icon for Mehreen Malik

Mehreen Malik

$60 Vol.

25%

icon for Adam Harrison

Adam Harrison

$60 Vol.

1%

icon for Sarah Hayward

Sarah Hayward

$60 Vol.

1%

icon for Lorna Jane Russell

Lorna Jane Russell

$60 Vol.

1%

icon for Jim Monahan

Jim Monahan

$60 Vol.

1%

icon for Charlie Clinton

Charlie Clinton

$60 Vol.

1%

icon for Siân Berry

Siân Berry

$47 Vol.

24%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).The by-election, triggered by Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation, pits Labour’s eventual nominee against a competitive field in a seat Labour has held since 1983. Recent May 2026 Camden ward results showed Labour and Green support running closely in overlapping areas, narrowing the historical gap seen in the 2024 general election. Green Party leader Zack Polanski’s potential candidacy has drawn attention given the party’s local gains and the 2024 precedent of a strong independent challenge. Labour’s candidate selection process, due to conclude around September 9, and the still-unscheduled polling date leave room for further shifts, while minor-party or independent entries could fragment the vote. These unresolved factors sustain tight trader pricing around leading names.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$1,930
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).The by-election, triggered by Keir Starmer’s September 1 resignation, pits Labour’s eventual nominee against a competitive field in a seat Labour has held since 1983. Recent May 2026 Camden ward results showed Labour and Green support running closely in overlapping areas, narrowing the historical gap seen in the 2024 general election. Green Party leader Zack Polanski’s potential candidacy has drawn attention given the party’s local gains and the 2024 precedent of a strong independent challenge. Labour’s candidate selection process, due to conclude around September 9, and the still-unscheduled polling date leave room for further shifts, while minor-party or independent entries could fragment the vote. These unresolved factors sustain tight trader pricing around leading names.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election.

If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).
Volume
$1,930
Date de fin
1 juil. 2027
Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 12:13 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Holborn and St Pancras is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Sir Keir Starmer. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Holborn and St Pancras parliamentary by-election. If the election results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Camden Council (https://www.camden.gov.uk/).

Connexes

icon for Y aura-t-il exactement 6 élections partielles parlementaires au Royaume-Uni en 2026 ?

Y aura-t-il exactement 6 élections partielles parlementaires au Royaume-Uni en 2026 ?

72%
Oui
icon for Une nouvelle élection partielle à Clacton prévue en 2026 ?

Une nouvelle élection partielle à Clacton prévue en 2026 ?

52%
Oui
icon for Mike Derry va-t-il remporter l'élection partielle provinciale de Calgary-Shaw en 2026 ?

Mike Derry va-t-il remporter l'élection partielle provinciale de Calgary-Shaw en 2026 ?

92%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 22 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Zack Polanski » à 44%, suivi de « Mehreen Malik » à 25%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 44¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 1, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras », parcourez les 22 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras » est « Zack Polanski » à 44%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 44% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Mehreen Malik » à 25%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection partielle de Holborn et St Pancras » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.