Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary with a narrow 48.5% to 47.5% victory over Haley Stevens, consolidating support from party leaders and triggering immediate unity efforts ahead of the November 3 general election. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side as the experienced former congressman and 2024 nominee. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, has produced a closely contested race in the swing state, with traders assigning El-Sayed a modest edge that reflects Democratic structural advantages in turnout and recent primary momentum. Key variables include polling trends among suburban and working-class voters, campaign spending patterns, and any late shifts in national midterm dynamics before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Michigan
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Michigan
$289,380 Vol.
$289,380 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
60%
Républicain
42%
$289,380 Vol.
$289,380 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$149,788 Vol.
60%
Républicain
$139,592 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary with a narrow 48.5% to 47.5% victory over Haley Stevens, consolidating support from party leaders and triggering immediate unity efforts ahead of the November 3 general election. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side as the experienced former congressman and 2024 nominee. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, has produced a closely contested race in the swing state, with traders assigning El-Sayed a modest edge that reflects Democratic structural advantages in turnout and recent primary momentum. Key variables include polling trends among suburban and working-class voters, campaign spending patterns, and any late shifts in national midterm dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$289,380Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary with a narrow 48.5% to 47.5% victory over Haley Stevens, consolidating support from party leaders and triggering immediate unity efforts ahead of the November 3 general election. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side as the experienced former congressman and 2024 nominee. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, has produced a closely contested race in the swing state, with traders assigning El-Sayed a modest edge that reflects Democratic structural advantages in turnout and recent primary momentum. Key variables include polling trends among suburban and working-class voters, campaign spending patterns, and any late shifts in national midterm dynamics before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$289,380Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed secured the Democratic nomination in Michigan’s August 4 primary with a narrow 48.5% to 47.5% victory over Haley Stevens, consolidating support from party leaders and triggering immediate unity efforts ahead of the November 3 general election. Mike Rogers advanced unopposed on the Republican side as the experienced former congressman and 2024 nominee. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent Gary Peters, has produced a closely contested race in the swing state, with traders assigning El-Sayed a modest edge that reflects Democratic structural advantages in turnout and recent primary momentum. Key variables include polling trends among suburban and working-class voters, campaign spending patterns, and any late shifts in national midterm dynamics before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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