Abdul El-Sayed holds the leading position in this open Michigan Senate contest as the Democratic nominee against Republican Mike Rogers, with traders assigning him a clear edge consistent with recent polling trends and midterm dynamics. El-Sayed secured the nomination in the August 4 primary after a competitive race against Representative Haley Stevens, capitalizing on strong support among progressive and younger voters. Recent surveys from Suffolk University, Emerson College, and others in September show El-Sayed ahead by margins of 2 to 7 points among likely voters, driven by advantages with independents, women, and Black voters. Rogers, a former congressman who narrowly lost the 2024 Senate race, benefits from Republican strength in rural areas and among Trump 2024 voters but faces challenges closing the gap in a state where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Upcoming early voting and national midterm patterns favoring the out-of-power party continue to shape assessments of the November 3 outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Michigan
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Michigan
$1,022,709 Vol.
$1,022,709 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
72%
Mike Rogers (R)
29%
$1,022,709 Vol.
$1,022,709 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$577,181 Vol.
72%
Mike Rogers (R)
$445,528 Vol.
29%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed holds the leading position in this open Michigan Senate contest as the Democratic nominee against Republican Mike Rogers, with traders assigning him a clear edge consistent with recent polling trends and midterm dynamics. El-Sayed secured the nomination in the August 4 primary after a competitive race against Representative Haley Stevens, capitalizing on strong support among progressive and younger voters. Recent surveys from Suffolk University, Emerson College, and others in September show El-Sayed ahead by margins of 2 to 7 points among likely voters, driven by advantages with independents, women, and Black voters. Rogers, a former congressman who narrowly lost the 2024 Senate race, benefits from Republican strength in rural areas and among Trump 2024 voters but faces challenges closing the gap in a state where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Upcoming early voting and national midterm patterns favoring the out-of-power party continue to shape assessments of the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$1,022,709Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2f5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Abdul El-Sayed holds the leading position in this open Michigan Senate contest as the Democratic nominee against Republican Mike Rogers, with traders assigning him a clear edge consistent with recent polling trends and midterm dynamics. El-Sayed secured the nomination in the August 4 primary after a competitive race against Representative Haley Stevens, capitalizing on strong support among progressive and younger voters. Recent surveys from Suffolk University, Emerson College, and others in September show El-Sayed ahead by margins of 2 to 7 points among likely voters, driven by advantages with independents, women, and Black voters. Rogers, a former congressman who narrowly lost the 2024 Senate race, benefits from Republican strength in rural areas and among Trump 2024 voters but faces challenges closing the gap in a state where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Upcoming early voting and national midterm patterns favoring the out-of-power party continue to shape assessments of the November 3 outcome.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The candidates may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$1,022,709Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETRésolveur
0x2f5e3684c...Abdul El-Sayed holds the leading position in this open Michigan Senate contest as the Democratic nominee against Republican Mike Rogers, with traders assigning him a clear edge consistent with recent polling trends and midterm dynamics. El-Sayed secured the nomination in the August 4 primary after a competitive race against Representative Haley Stevens, capitalizing on strong support among progressive and younger voters. Recent surveys from Suffolk University, Emerson College, and others in September show El-Sayed ahead by margins of 2 to 7 points among likely voters, driven by advantages with independents, women, and Black voters. Rogers, a former congressman who narrowly lost the 2024 Senate race, benefits from Republican strength in rural areas and among Trump 2024 voters but faces challenges closing the gap in a state where Democrats have held the seat for decades. Upcoming early voting and national midterm patterns favoring the out-of-power party continue to shape assessments of the November 3 outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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