Michigan's 2026 U.S. Senate contest features an open seat following incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' retirement announcement, pitting a competitive Democratic primary field against Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers. Primary polling from early June shows Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed in a tight three-way race for the nomination on August 4, while general election matchups remain close, with Democratic candidates leading or tying Rogers by margins of 1 to 7 points depending on the pairing. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting Michigan's status as a swing state where recent presidential results were narrow. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 70% appears driven by the party's stronger bench, historical performance in Senate contests, and candidate positioning ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Michigan
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Michigan
$117,173 Vol.
$117,173 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
70%
Républicain
28%
$117,173 Vol.
$117,173 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$83,215 Vol.
70%
Républicain
$33,958 Vol.
28%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's 2026 U.S. Senate contest features an open seat following incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' retirement announcement, pitting a competitive Democratic primary field against Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers. Primary polling from early June shows Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed in a tight three-way race for the nomination on August 4, while general election matchups remain close, with Democratic candidates leading or tying Rogers by margins of 1 to 7 points depending on the pairing. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting Michigan's status as a swing state where recent presidential results were narrow. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 70% appears driven by the party's stronger bench, historical performance in Senate contests, and candidate positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Volume
$117,173Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Michigan's 2026 U.S. Senate contest features an open seat following incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' retirement announcement, pitting a competitive Democratic primary field against Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers. Primary polling from early June shows Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed in a tight three-way race for the nomination on August 4, while general election matchups remain close, with Democratic candidates leading or tying Rogers by margins of 1 to 7 points depending on the pairing. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting Michigan's status as a swing state where recent presidential results were narrow. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 70% appears driven by the party's stronger bench, historical performance in Senate contests, and candidate positioning ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Michigan U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$117,173Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 2026 U.S. Senate contest features an open seat following incumbent Democrat Gary Peters' retirement announcement, pitting a competitive Democratic primary field against Republican frontrunner Mike Rogers. Primary polling from early June shows Haley Stevens, Mallory McMorrow, and Abdul El-Sayed in a tight three-way race for the nomination on August 4, while general election matchups remain close, with Democratic candidates leading or tying Rogers by margins of 1 to 7 points depending on the pairing. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up, reflecting Michigan's status as a swing state where recent presidential results were narrow. Trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 70% appears driven by the party's stronger bench, historical performance in Senate contests, and candidate positioning ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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