Mississippi's entrenched Republican lean, reinforced by the state's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles and Donald Trump's 23-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith at 94.5% over Democrat Scott Colom. Hyde-Smith secured her party's nomination easily in the March 2026 primary and maintains polling leads of 3 to 13 points in surveys through mid-August, consistent with Mississippi's history of no Democratic Senate win since the 1980s and limited recent statewide Democratic success. Colom's primary victory and modest gains among Black voters, who comprise nearly one-third of the electorate, have not shifted the broader outlook. A majority requirement could trigger a runoff if independent Ty Pinkins draws sufficient support, though scenarios capable of overcoming the structural Republican advantage remain limited absent major scandals, health developments, or an extreme national partisan shift before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$44,686 Vol.
$44,686 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Républicain
95%
Démocrate
6%
$44,686 Vol.
$44,686 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Républicain
$26,966 Vol.
95%
Démocrate
$17,720 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mississippi's entrenched Republican lean, reinforced by the state's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles and Donald Trump's 23-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith at 94.5% over Democrat Scott Colom. Hyde-Smith secured her party's nomination easily in the March 2026 primary and maintains polling leads of 3 to 13 points in surveys through mid-August, consistent with Mississippi's history of no Democratic Senate win since the 1980s and limited recent statewide Democratic success. Colom's primary victory and modest gains among Black voters, who comprise nearly one-third of the electorate, have not shifted the broader outlook. A majority requirement could trigger a runoff if independent Ty Pinkins draws sufficient support, though scenarios capable of overcoming the structural Republican advantage remain limited absent major scandals, health developments, or an extreme national partisan shift before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Volume
$44,686Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Mississippi's entrenched Republican lean, reinforced by the state's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles and Donald Trump's 23-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith at 94.5% over Democrat Scott Colom. Hyde-Smith secured her party's nomination easily in the March 2026 primary and maintains polling leads of 3 to 13 points in surveys through mid-August, consistent with Mississippi's history of no Democratic Senate win since the 1980s and limited recent statewide Democratic success. Colom's primary victory and modest gains among Black voters, who comprise nearly one-third of the electorate, have not shifted the broader outlook. A majority requirement could trigger a runoff if independent Ty Pinkins draws sufficient support, though scenarios capable of overcoming the structural Republican advantage remain limited absent major scandals, health developments, or an extreme national partisan shift before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Mississippi U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$44,686Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Mississippi's entrenched Republican lean, reinforced by the state's consistent support for GOP candidates in recent cycles and Donald Trump's 23-point 2024 margin, underpins trader consensus favoring incumbent Senator Cindy Hyde-Smith at 94.5% over Democrat Scott Colom. Hyde-Smith secured her party's nomination easily in the March 2026 primary and maintains polling leads of 3 to 13 points in surveys through mid-August, consistent with Mississippi's history of no Democratic Senate win since the 1980s and limited recent statewide Democratic success. Colom's primary victory and modest gains among Black voters, who comprise nearly one-third of the electorate, have not shifted the broader outlook. A majority requirement could trigger a runoff if independent Ty Pinkins draws sufficient support, though scenarios capable of overcoming the structural Republican advantage remain limited absent major scandals, health developments, or an extreme national partisan shift before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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