The tight contest for Genesee County in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race reflects the broader statewide dynamics between Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican nominee Mike Rogers, with recent polls showing a margin of roughly 1–4 points. El-Sayed’s narrow August primary victory consolidated progressive support in urban and suburban areas, while Rogers benefits from strong Republican turnout in outstate regions and independents split nearly evenly. Genesee County’s Democratic lean, including its performance in the primary where Haley Stevens outperformed El-Sayed, keeps trader expectations closely balanced despite El-Sayed’s modest edge. Fundraising edges, voter mobilization efforts, and any shifts in undecided voters or turnout among key demographics such as younger voters and Black residents could widen the gap before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Mike Rogers (R)
32%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
53%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
Mike Rogers (R)
$30 Vol.
32%
Abdul El-Sayed (D)
$122 Vol.
53%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.The tight contest for Genesee County in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race reflects the broader statewide dynamics between Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican nominee Mike Rogers, with recent polls showing a margin of roughly 1–4 points. El-Sayed’s narrow August primary victory consolidated progressive support in urban and suburban areas, while Rogers benefits from strong Republican turnout in outstate regions and independents split nearly evenly. Genesee County’s Democratic lean, including its performance in the primary where Haley Stevens outperformed El-Sayed, keeps trader expectations closely balanced despite El-Sayed’s modest edge. Fundraising edges, voter mobilization efforts, and any shifts in undecided voters or turnout among key demographics such as younger voters and Black residents could widen the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ET
Volume
$152Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.The tight contest for Genesee County in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race reflects the broader statewide dynamics between Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican nominee Mike Rogers, with recent polls showing a margin of roughly 1–4 points. El-Sayed’s narrow August primary victory consolidated progressive support in urban and suburban areas, while Rogers benefits from strong Republican turnout in outstate regions and independents split nearly evenly. Genesee County’s Democratic lean, including its performance in the primary where Haley Stevens outperformed El-Sayed, keeps trader expectations closely balanced despite El-Sayed’s modest edge. Fundraising edges, voter mobilization efforts, and any shifts in undecided voters or turnout among key demographics such as younger voters and Black residents could widen the gap before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Genesee County in the general election for United States Senator from Michigan, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Michigan, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Genesee County.
Volume
$152Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 1:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The tight contest for Genesee County in Michigan’s open U.S. Senate race reflects the broader statewide dynamics between Democratic nominee Abdul El-Sayed and Republican nominee Mike Rogers, with recent polls showing a margin of roughly 1–4 points. El-Sayed’s narrow August primary victory consolidated progressive support in urban and suburban areas, while Rogers benefits from strong Republican turnout in outstate regions and independents split nearly evenly. Genesee County’s Democratic lean, including its performance in the primary where Haley Stevens outperformed El-Sayed, keeps trader expectations closely balanced despite El-Sayed’s modest edge. Fundraising edges, voter mobilization efforts, and any shifts in undecided voters or turnout among key demographics such as younger voters and Black residents could widen the gap before November 3.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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