David Crowley’s narrow August 2026 Democratic primary victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, backed by retiring Gov. Tony Evers and party establishment figures, has positioned the Milwaukee County executive as the consensus favorite to win the November general election. Recent polls, including Marquette Law School’s late-August survey, show Crowley leading Republican nominee Tom Tiffany by 4–5 points among likely voters in a race rated toss-up to lean Democratic by forecasters. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but carries a strong Trump alignment that some analyses link to softer support in the swing state. Traders appear to weigh Crowley’s crossover appeal in Milwaukee and suburban areas, combined with historical Democratic advantages in gubernatorial contests, more heavily than the tight polling averages. No major late developments have altered this dynamic ahead of the November 3 contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Wisconsin
$555,541 Vol.
$555,541 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
83%
Tom Tiffany (R)
19%
$555,541 Vol.
$555,541 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
David Crowley (D)
$292,551 Vol.
83%
Tom Tiffany (R)
$262,990 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley’s narrow August 2026 Democratic primary victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, backed by retiring Gov. Tony Evers and party establishment figures, has positioned the Milwaukee County executive as the consensus favorite to win the November general election. Recent polls, including Marquette Law School’s late-August survey, show Crowley leading Republican nominee Tom Tiffany by 4–5 points among likely voters in a race rated toss-up to lean Democratic by forecasters. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but carries a strong Trump alignment that some analyses link to softer support in the swing state. Traders appear to weigh Crowley’s crossover appeal in Milwaukee and suburban areas, combined with historical Democratic advantages in gubernatorial contests, more heavily than the tight polling averages. No major late developments have altered this dynamic ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$555,541Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.David Crowley’s narrow August 2026 Democratic primary victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, backed by retiring Gov. Tony Evers and party establishment figures, has positioned the Milwaukee County executive as the consensus favorite to win the November general election. Recent polls, including Marquette Law School’s late-August survey, show Crowley leading Republican nominee Tom Tiffany by 4–5 points among likely voters in a race rated toss-up to lean Democratic by forecasters. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but carries a strong Trump alignment that some analyses link to softer support in the swing state. Traders appear to weigh Crowley’s crossover appeal in Milwaukee and suburban areas, combined with historical Democratic advantages in gubernatorial contests, more heavily than the tight polling averages. No major late developments have altered this dynamic ahead of the November 3 contest.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$555,541Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...David Crowley’s narrow August 2026 Democratic primary victory over progressive challenger Francesca Hong, backed by retiring Gov. Tony Evers and party establishment figures, has positioned the Milwaukee County executive as the consensus favorite to win the November general election. Recent polls, including Marquette Law School’s late-August survey, show Crowley leading Republican nominee Tom Tiffany by 4–5 points among likely voters in a race rated toss-up to lean Democratic by forecasters. Tiffany secured the GOP nomination easily but carries a strong Trump alignment that some analyses link to softer support in the swing state. Traders appear to weigh Crowley’s crossover appeal in Milwaukee and suburban areas, combined with historical Democratic advantages in gubernatorial contests, more heavily than the tight polling averages. No major late developments have altered this dynamic ahead of the November 3 contest.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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