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Élections·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine NH-01

icon for Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine NH-01
Élections·Primaires

Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine NH-01

Anthony DiLorenzo 71%

Hollie Noveletsky 15%

Elizabeth Girard 7.5%

Melissa Bailey 5.5%

Polymarket

$40,141 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo 71%

Hollie Noveletsky 15%

Elizabeth Girard 7.5%

Melissa Bailey 5.5%

Polymarket

$40,141 Vol.

Anthony DiLorenzo

$1,643 Vol.

71%

Hollie Noveletsky

$22,859 Vol.

19%

Elizabeth Girard

$13,533 Vol.

8%

Melissa Bailey

$1,058 Vol.

5%

Brian Cole

$1,048 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony DiLorenzo holds a commanding lead in the September 8, 2026, Republican primary for New Hampshire’s open 1st congressional district seat. His strong fundraising—exceeding $1.2 million—combined with endorsements from former state GOP chair Steve Stepanek and Turning Point Action, has positioned the auto dealer and first-time candidate ahead of the field. Recent candidate filings through early June and his emphasis on private-sector efficiency, energy costs, and federal spending have reinforced trader consensus around his frontrunner status. Hollie Noveletsky, a 2024 candidate and former party vice chair, along with state representative Brian Cole and local officials Melissa Bailey and Elizabeth Girard, trail with comparatively limited resources and visibility in the multicandidate contest. The primary remains months away, leaving room for shifts driven by further endorsements or debates.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,141
Date de fin
8 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Anthony DiLorenzo holds a commanding lead in the September 8, 2026, Republican primary for New Hampshire’s open 1st congressional district seat. His strong fundraising—exceeding $1.2 million—combined with endorsements from former state GOP chair Steve Stepanek and Turning Point Action, has positioned the auto dealer and first-time candidate ahead of the field. Recent candidate filings through early June and his emphasis on private-sector efficiency, energy costs, and federal spending have reinforced trader consensus around his frontrunner status. Hollie Noveletsky, a 2024 candidate and former party vice chair, along with state representative Brian Cole and local officials Melissa Bailey and Elizabeth Girard, trail with comparatively limited resources and visibility in the multicandidate contest. The primary remains months away, leaving room for shifts driven by further endorsements or debates.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$40,141
Date de fin
8 sept. 2026
Marché ouvert
Feb 23, 2026, 11:53 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine NH-01 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Anthony DiLorenzo » à 71%, suivi de « Hollie Noveletsky » à 19%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 71¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine NH-01 » a généré $40.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Feb 23, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine NH-01 », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine NH-01 » est « Anthony DiLorenzo » à 71%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 71% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Hollie Noveletsky » à 19%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine NH-01 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.