James Talarico holds a strong implied probability of carrying Collin County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election due to suburban demographic shifts and his polling performance among independents and Hispanic voters in the broader race against Ken Paxton. Collin County, Paxton's political origin and a long-time Republican stronghold, has emerged as a focal point amid rapid population growth and changing voter patterns in North Texas suburbs. Recent campaign activity includes Talarico rallies drawing large crowds there, while statewide surveys through August 2026 show the contest rated as a toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, with Talarico maintaining fundraising and organizational edges. Minor candidates and write-ins remain available on the November 3 ballot but trail significantly in reported support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
James Talarico (D)
78%
Ken Paxton (R)
15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
3 nov. 2026
James Talarico (D)
$20 Vol.
78%
Ken Paxton (R)
$33 Vol.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.James Talarico holds a strong implied probability of carrying Collin County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election due to suburban demographic shifts and his polling performance among independents and Hispanic voters in the broader race against Ken Paxton. Collin County, Paxton's political origin and a long-time Republican stronghold, has emerged as a focal point amid rapid population growth and changing voter patterns in North Texas suburbs. Recent campaign activity includes Talarico rallies drawing large crowds there, while statewide surveys through August 2026 show the contest rated as a toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, with Talarico maintaining fundraising and organizational edges. Minor candidates and write-ins remain available on the November 3 ballot but trail significantly in reported support.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
Marché ouvert : Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ET
Volume
$53Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.James Talarico holds a strong implied probability of carrying Collin County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election due to suburban demographic shifts and his polling performance among independents and Hispanic voters in the broader race against Ken Paxton. Collin County, Paxton's political origin and a long-time Republican stronghold, has emerged as a focal point amid rapid population growth and changing voter patterns in North Texas suburbs. Recent campaign activity includes Talarico rallies drawing large crowds there, while statewide surveys through August 2026 show the contest rated as a toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, with Talarico maintaining fundraising and organizational edges. Minor candidates and write-ins remain available on the November 3 ballot but trail significantly in reported support.
This market will resolve according to the party nominee or independent candidate that receives the most valid votes from Collin County in the general election for United States Senator from Texas, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties are named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.
If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other."
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Texas, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Collin County.
Volume
$53Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 1, 2026, 1:34 PM ETRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...James Talarico holds a strong implied probability of carrying Collin County in the 2026 Texas U.S. Senate election due to suburban demographic shifts and his polling performance among independents and Hispanic voters in the broader race against Ken Paxton. Collin County, Paxton's political origin and a long-time Republican stronghold, has emerged as a focal point amid rapid population growth and changing voter patterns in North Texas suburbs. Recent campaign activity includes Talarico rallies drawing large crowds there, while statewide surveys through August 2026 show the contest rated as a toss-up or lean Republican by forecasters, with Talarico maintaining fundraising and organizational edges. Minor candidates and write-ins remain available on the November 3 ballot but trail significantly in reported support.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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