Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a trader consensus advantage in the November 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race, buoyed by his strong June primary performance and recent GOP-commissioned polls showing leads of 7 to 12 points over Democratic nominee and Attorney General Aaron Ford. Earlier surveys, including a July Democratic-affiliated poll and Emerson results, indicated a statistical tie near 44 percent each, while aggregates reflect a narrower Lombardo edge around 3 to 6 points. The race features contrasting positions on taxes, property assessments, and other state issues, with recent campaign exchanges centering on endorsement claims. As the election approaches in roughly 11 weeks, these polling variations and the incumbent's structural position shape the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$68,048 Vol.
$68,048 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Joe Lombardo (R)
63%
Aaron Ford (D)
38%
$68,048 Vol.
$68,048 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Joe Lombardo (R)
$47,043 Vol.
63%
Aaron Ford (D)
$21,005 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a trader consensus advantage in the November 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race, buoyed by his strong June primary performance and recent GOP-commissioned polls showing leads of 7 to 12 points over Democratic nominee and Attorney General Aaron Ford. Earlier surveys, including a July Democratic-affiliated poll and Emerson results, indicated a statistical tie near 44 percent each, while aggregates reflect a narrower Lombardo edge around 3 to 6 points. The race features contrasting positions on taxes, property assessments, and other state issues, with recent campaign exchanges centering on endorsement claims. As the election approaches in roughly 11 weeks, these polling variations and the incumbent's structural position shape the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
Volume
$68,048Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a trader consensus advantage in the November 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race, buoyed by his strong June primary performance and recent GOP-commissioned polls showing leads of 7 to 12 points over Democratic nominee and Attorney General Aaron Ford. Earlier surveys, including a July Democratic-affiliated poll and Emerson results, indicated a statistical tie near 44 percent each, while aggregates reflect a narrower Lombardo edge around 3 to 6 points. The race features contrasting positions on taxes, property assessments, and other state issues, with recent campaign exchanges centering on endorsement claims. As the election approaches in roughly 11 weeks, these polling variations and the incumbent's structural position shape the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Nevada gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$68,048Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 6:29 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Joe Lombardo holds a trader consensus advantage in the November 2026 Nevada gubernatorial race, buoyed by his strong June primary performance and recent GOP-commissioned polls showing leads of 7 to 12 points over Democratic nominee and Attorney General Aaron Ford. Earlier surveys, including a July Democratic-affiliated poll and Emerson results, indicated a statistical tie near 44 percent each, while aggregates reflect a narrower Lombardo edge around 3 to 6 points. The race features contrasting positions on taxes, property assessments, and other state issues, with recent campaign exchanges centering on endorsement claims. As the election approaches in roughly 11 weeks, these polling variations and the incumbent's structural position shape the implied probabilities reflected in current market pricing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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