Ohio's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Republican nominee Vivek Ramaswamy facing Democrat Amy Acton on November 3, following May 5 primaries where both cleared the field with minimal opposition. The state's partisan voting index and historical voting patterns favor Republicans, contributing to trader consensus pricing the GOP nominee ahead at 53.5 percent implied probability versus 42 percent for the Democrat. Recent polling averages show a tight contest, with a late May Fox News survey placing Acton narrowly ahead and other aggregates giving Ramaswamy a slim edge, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Republican. Key variables include turnout among independent and suburban voters, candidate fundraising and messaging on state economic and health policy issues, and any late-cycle national political shifts that could influence Ohio's battleground dynamics before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$101,247 Vol.
$101,247 Vol.

Républicain
54%

Démocrate
42%
$101,247 Vol.
$101,247 Vol.

Républicain
54%

Démocrate
42%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's open 2026 gubernatorial race features Republican nominee Vivek Ramaswamy facing Democrat Amy Acton on November 3, following May 5 primaries where both cleared the field with minimal opposition. The state's partisan voting index and historical voting patterns favor Republicans, contributing to trader consensus pricing the GOP nominee ahead at 53.5 percent implied probability versus 42 percent for the Democrat. Recent polling averages show a tight contest, with a late May Fox News survey placing Acton narrowly ahead and other aggregates giving Ramaswamy a slim edge, consistent with nonpartisan ratings classifying the seat as Lean or Likely Republican. Key variables include turnout among independent and suburban voters, candidate fundraising and messaging on state economic and health policy issues, and any late-cycle national political shifts that could influence Ohio's battleground dynamics before Election Day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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