Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him as a heavy favorite against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity. Consistent polling throughout summer 2026 shows Shapiro leading by double digits, with averages near 53% to 36%, driven by his incumbency, solid job approval ratings around 56-60% including crossover support, broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $16 million. Both candidates secured their nominations unopposed in the May primaries, leaving limited early volatility. Garrity faces challenges from lower visibility and favorability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments, shifts in economic sentiment, or unexpected turnout changes in this swing state ahead of the November 3 election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Pennsylvanie
Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur de Pennsylvanie
$49,106 Vol.
$49,106 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Démocrate
96%
Républicain
2%
$49,106 Vol.
$49,106 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$7,465 Vol.
96%
Républicain
$41,640 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him as a heavy favorite against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity. Consistent polling throughout summer 2026 shows Shapiro leading by double digits, with averages near 53% to 36%, driven by his incumbency, solid job approval ratings around 56-60% including crossover support, broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $16 million. Both candidates secured their nominations unopposed in the May primaries, leaving limited early volatility. Garrity faces challenges from lower visibility and favorability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments, shifts in economic sentiment, or unexpected turnout changes in this swing state ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$49,106Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him as a heavy favorite against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity. Consistent polling throughout summer 2026 shows Shapiro leading by double digits, with averages near 53% to 36%, driven by his incumbency, solid job approval ratings around 56-60% including crossover support, broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $16 million. Both candidates secured their nominations unopposed in the May primaries, leaving limited early volatility. Garrity faces challenges from lower visibility and favorability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments, shifts in economic sentiment, or unexpected turnout changes in this swing state ahead of the November 3 election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$49,106Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Josh Shapiro holds a commanding position in the 2026 Pennsylvania gubernatorial race, reflected in trader consensus pricing him as a heavy favorite against Republican state Treasurer Stacy Garrity. Consistent polling throughout summer 2026 shows Shapiro leading by double digits, with averages near 53% to 36%, driven by his incumbency, solid job approval ratings around 56-60% including crossover support, broad name recognition, and a substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $16 million. Both candidates secured their nominations unopposed in the May primaries, leaving limited early volatility. Garrity faces challenges from lower visibility and favorability. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include major late-campaign developments, shifts in economic sentiment, or unexpected turnout changes in this swing state ahead of the November 3 election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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