Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeks a second term in Tennessee's Class 2 U.S. Senate seat against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw, a rematch of their 2020 contest. Tennessee's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and Senate races, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Hagerty advanced unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary while Bradshaw secured her party's nomination. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, projecting double-digit margins consistent with the state's electoral history and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. Late developments such as major scandals or significant national shifts could theoretically alter trajectories, though structural factors including party registration and past turnout patterns limit realistic pathways for an upset before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$24,668 Vol.
$24,668 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
96%
Démocrate
2%
$24,668 Vol.
$24,668 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$14,806 Vol.
96%
Démocrate
$9,861 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeks a second term in Tennessee's Class 2 U.S. Senate seat against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw, a rematch of their 2020 contest. Tennessee's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and Senate races, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Hagerty advanced unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary while Bradshaw secured her party's nomination. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, projecting double-digit margins consistent with the state's electoral history and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. Late developments such as major scandals or significant national shifts could theoretically alter trajectories, though structural factors including party registration and past turnout patterns limit realistic pathways for an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$24,668Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeks a second term in Tennessee's Class 2 U.S. Senate seat against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw, a rematch of their 2020 contest. Tennessee's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and Senate races, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Hagerty advanced unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary while Bradshaw secured her party's nomination. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, projecting double-digit margins consistent with the state's electoral history and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. Late developments such as major scandals or significant national shifts could theoretically alter trajectories, though structural factors including party registration and past turnout patterns limit realistic pathways for an upset before November.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$24,668Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeks a second term in Tennessee's Class 2 U.S. Senate seat against Democratic nominee Marquita Bradshaw, a rematch of their 2020 contest. Tennessee's consistent Republican tilt, demonstrated by large margins in recent presidential and Senate races, underpins trader consensus favoring the GOP. Hagerty advanced unopposed in the August 6, 2026 primary while Bradshaw secured her party's nomination. Nonpartisan forecasts rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, projecting double-digit margins consistent with the state's electoral history and the absence of competitive Democratic challengers. Late developments such as major scandals or significant national shifts could theoretically alter trajectories, though structural factors including party registration and past turnout patterns limit realistic pathways for an upset before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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