Tennessee's 2026 Senate contest features incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeking a second term in a state where Republicans have held both seats for decades and last lost a general election in 1990. Hagerty filed for re-election early, secured endorsements including from former President Trump, and faces no notable primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Democratic recruitment. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Republican winner aligns with this structural advantage. Realistic shifts could arise only from an unusually strong Democratic nominee post-primary, a major late scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected turnout swings in a low-salience midterm environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$20,179 Vol.
$20,179 Vol.

Républicain
92%

Démocrate
3%
$20,179 Vol.
$20,179 Vol.

Républicain
92%

Démocrate
3%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 2026 Senate contest features incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty seeking a second term in a state where Republicans have held both seats for decades and last lost a general election in 1990. Hagerty filed for re-election early, secured endorsements including from former President Trump, and faces no notable primary opposition ahead of the August 6 contest. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and others classify the race as solid or safe Republican, reflecting consistent partisan voting patterns and limited Democratic recruitment. Trader consensus pricing at 92.5% for a Republican winner aligns with this structural advantage. Realistic shifts could arise only from an unusually strong Democratic nominee post-primary, a major late scandal involving the incumbent, or unexpected turnout swings in a low-salience midterm environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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