Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty faces Democrat Marquita Bradshaw in the November 2026 general election for Tennessee’s U.S. Senate seat, a rematch of their 2020 contest. Recent August primaries confirmed the nominees with Hagerty running unopposed on the Republican side and Bradshaw securing her party’s nod. Tennessee’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with Hagerty’s incumbency and the state’s absence of Democratic Class 2 Senate victories since 1990, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Forecasts project a double-digit Republican margin consistent with historical results. Realistic paths to a closer contest would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, significant late developments affecting Hagerty, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$24,668 Vol.
$24,668 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
96%
Démocrate
2%
$24,668 Vol.
$24,668 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Républicain
$14,806 Vol.
96%
Démocrate
$9,861 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty faces Democrat Marquita Bradshaw in the November 2026 general election for Tennessee’s U.S. Senate seat, a rematch of their 2020 contest. Recent August primaries confirmed the nominees with Hagerty running unopposed on the Republican side and Bradshaw securing her party’s nod. Tennessee’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with Hagerty’s incumbency and the state’s absence of Democratic Class 2 Senate victories since 1990, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Forecasts project a double-digit Republican margin consistent with historical results. Realistic paths to a closer contest would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, significant late developments affecting Hagerty, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ET
Volume
$24,668Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty faces Democrat Marquita Bradshaw in the November 2026 general election for Tennessee’s U.S. Senate seat, a rematch of their 2020 contest. Recent August primaries confirmed the nominees with Hagerty running unopposed on the Republican side and Bradshaw securing her party’s nod. Tennessee’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with Hagerty’s incumbency and the state’s absence of Democratic Class 2 Senate victories since 1990, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Forecasts project a double-digit Republican margin consistent with historical results. Realistic paths to a closer contest would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, significant late developments affecting Hagerty, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Tennessee U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$24,668Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:04 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Bill Hagerty faces Democrat Marquita Bradshaw in the November 2026 general election for Tennessee’s U.S. Senate seat, a rematch of their 2020 contest. Recent August primaries confirmed the nominees with Hagerty running unopposed on the Republican side and Bradshaw securing her party’s nod. Tennessee’s consistent Republican voting patterns in federal races, combined with Hagerty’s incumbency and the state’s absence of Democratic Class 2 Senate victories since 1990, underpin the strong trader consensus favoring the GOP outcome. Forecasts project a double-digit Republican margin consistent with historical results. Realistic paths to a closer contest would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, significant late developments affecting Hagerty, or unusually high Democratic turnout in key areas.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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