Kentucky's solidly Republican electorate and the open Senate seat created by Mitch McConnell's retirement have anchored trader consensus around Republican nominee Andy Barr. Barr secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with endorsement from President Donald Trump, defeating former state Attorney General Daniel Cameron by a wide margin. Democrat Charles Booker prevailed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where recent Republican Senate candidates have won by double-digit margins. Current polling averages show Barr ahead by roughly 11 points. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, late-campaign developments that shift voter priorities, or unexpected national political shifts affecting down-ballot races.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kentucky
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kentucky
$15,677 Vol.
$15,677 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Andy Barr (R)
92%
Charles Booker (D)
6%
$15,677 Vol.
$15,677 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Andy Barr (R)
$10,833 Vol.
92%
Charles Booker (D)
$4,844 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's solidly Republican electorate and the open Senate seat created by Mitch McConnell's retirement have anchored trader consensus around Republican nominee Andy Barr. Barr secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with endorsement from President Donald Trump, defeating former state Attorney General Daniel Cameron by a wide margin. Democrat Charles Booker prevailed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where recent Republican Senate candidates have won by double-digit margins. Current polling averages show Barr ahead by roughly 11 points. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, late-campaign developments that shift voter priorities, or unexpected national political shifts affecting down-ballot races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$15,677Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kentucky's solidly Republican electorate and the open Senate seat created by Mitch McConnell's retirement have anchored trader consensus around Republican nominee Andy Barr. Barr secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with endorsement from President Donald Trump, defeating former state Attorney General Daniel Cameron by a wide margin. Democrat Charles Booker prevailed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where recent Republican Senate candidates have won by double-digit margins. Current polling averages show Barr ahead by roughly 11 points. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, late-campaign developments that shift voter priorities, or unexpected national political shifts affecting down-ballot races.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kentucky U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$15,677Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Kentucky's solidly Republican electorate and the open Senate seat created by Mitch McConnell's retirement have anchored trader consensus around Republican nominee Andy Barr. Barr secured the GOP nomination in the May 2026 primary with endorsement from President Donald Trump, defeating former state Attorney General Daniel Cameron by a wide margin. Democrat Charles Booker prevailed in his primary but faces structural headwinds in a state where recent Republican Senate candidates have won by double-digit margins. Current polling averages show Barr ahead by roughly 11 points. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout in urban areas, late-campaign developments that shift voter priorities, or unexpected national political shifts affecting down-ballot races.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes