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icon for Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas
Élections·Midterms

Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas

icon for Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas
Élections·Midterms

Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas

$37,222 Vol.

Polymarket

$37,222 Vol.

icon for Républicain

Républicain

$24,348 Vol.

84%

icon for Démocrate

Démocrate

$12,874 Vol.

17%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas voters will decide the winner of the state's U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, with the Republican primary set for August 4. Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a substantial edge in this solidly Republican state, where all major forecasters rate the contest as safe or likely Republican. Marshall's strong fundraising, established name recognition, and the state's consistent support for GOP Senate candidates underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Democratic contenders, including Adam Hamilton and Christy Davis, remain in the primary stage with limited statewide visibility and face structural challenges in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 2010. No major recent events have altered the underlying partisan dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$37,222
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Kansas voters will decide the winner of the state's U.S. Senate seat on November 3, 2026, with the Republican primary set for August 4. Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a substantial edge in this solidly Republican state, where all major forecasters rate the contest as safe or likely Republican. Marshall's strong fundraising, established name recognition, and the state's consistent support for GOP Senate candidates underpin the current trader consensus favoring a Republican victory. Democratic contenders, including Adam Hamilton and Christy Davis, remain in the primary stage with limited statewide visibility and face structural challenges in a state that has not elected a Democratic senator since 2010. No major recent events have altered the underlying partisan dynamics.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.

A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.

Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$37,222
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs. A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.

Connexes

icon for Les démocrates vont-ils gagner la course au Sénat de l'Oregon en 2026 ?

Les démocrates vont-ils gagner la course au Sénat de l'Oregon en 2026 ?

97%
Oui
icon for Les Républicains vont-ils remporter la course au poste de gouverneur du Kansas en 2026 ?

Les Républicains vont-ils remporter la course au poste de gouverneur du Kansas en 2026 ?

76%
Oui
icon for Les Républicains vont-ils gagner la course au poste de gouverneur du Nebraska en 2026 ?

Les Républicains vont-ils gagner la course au poste de gouverneur du Nebraska en 2026 ?

85%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Républicain » à 84%, suivi de « Démocrate » à 17%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 84¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 84% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas » a généré $37.2K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Oct 13, 2025. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas » est « Républicain » à 84%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 84% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Démocrate » à 17%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.