Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's long Republican dominance in federal contests and his established position in a reliably conservative electorate. Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, a prominent Kansas City-area pastor who prevailed in an August primary, has drawn attention through record fundraising and moderate positioning, narrowing some recent polling margins to low single digits. Analysts rate the contest as likely Republican, consistent with Kansas's voting patterns since the 1930s and Marshall's primary strength. Traders price in these structural factors alongside the general election timeline on November 3, while noting Hamilton's potential to consolidate Democratic support in a turnout-driven environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas
$54,237 Vol.
$54,237 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
76%
Adam Hamilton (D)
24%
$54,237 Vol.
$54,237 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
$34,532 Vol.
76%
Adam Hamilton (D)
$19,705 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's long Republican dominance in federal contests and his established position in a reliably conservative electorate. Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, a prominent Kansas City-area pastor who prevailed in an August primary, has drawn attention through record fundraising and moderate positioning, narrowing some recent polling margins to low single digits. Analysts rate the contest as likely Republican, consistent with Kansas's voting patterns since the 1930s and Marshall's primary strength. Traders price in these structural factors alongside the general election timeline on November 3, while noting Hamilton's potential to consolidate Democratic support in a turnout-driven environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$54,237Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's long Republican dominance in federal contests and his established position in a reliably conservative electorate. Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, a prominent Kansas City-area pastor who prevailed in an August primary, has drawn attention through record fundraising and moderate positioning, narrowing some recent polling margins to low single digits. Analysts rate the contest as likely Republican, consistent with Kansas's voting patterns since the 1930s and Marshall's primary strength. Traders price in these structural factors alongside the general election timeline on November 3, while noting Hamilton's potential to consolidate Democratic support in a turnout-driven environment.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$54,237Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's long Republican dominance in federal contests and his established position in a reliably conservative electorate. Democratic nominee Adam Hamilton, a prominent Kansas City-area pastor who prevailed in an August primary, has drawn attention through record fundraising and moderate positioning, narrowing some recent polling margins to low single digits. Analysts rate the contest as likely Republican, consistent with Kansas's voting patterns since the 1930s and Marshall's primary strength. Traders price in these structural factors alongside the general election timeline on November 3, while noting Hamilton's potential to consolidate Democratic support in a turnout-driven environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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