Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's strong Republican baseline and his established position in a solidly red electorate. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor who won a crowded August primary, has narrowed the contest through strong early fundraising, moderate positioning, and recent polling that shows Marshall ahead by low-single-digit margins. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, though some aggregates reflect a tighter race than typical for Kansas. A former Republican governor's endorsement of Hamilton and national midterm dynamics have kept Democratic hopes alive ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Kansas
$54,240 Vol.
$54,240 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
76%
Adam Hamilton (D)
24%
$54,240 Vol.
$54,240 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
$34,532 Vol.
76%
Adam Hamilton (D)
$19,709 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's strong Republican baseline and his established position in a solidly red electorate. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor who won a crowded August primary, has narrowed the contest through strong early fundraising, moderate positioning, and recent polling that shows Marshall ahead by low-single-digit margins. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, though some aggregates reflect a tighter race than typical for Kansas. A former Republican governor's endorsement of Hamilton and national midterm dynamics have kept Democratic hopes alive ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$54,240Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's strong Republican baseline and his established position in a solidly red electorate. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor who won a crowded August primary, has narrowed the contest through strong early fundraising, moderate positioning, and recent polling that shows Marshall ahead by low-single-digit margins. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, though some aggregates reflect a tighter race than typical for Kansas. A former Republican governor's endorsement of Hamilton and national midterm dynamics have kept Democratic hopes alive ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$54,240Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Roger Marshall holds a clear edge in the 2026 Kansas Senate race due to the state's strong Republican baseline and his established position in a solidly red electorate. Democrat Adam Hamilton, a prominent United Methodist pastor who won a crowded August primary, has narrowed the contest through strong early fundraising, moderate positioning, and recent polling that shows Marshall ahead by low-single-digit margins. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, though some aggregates reflect a tighter race than typical for Kansas. A former Republican governor's endorsement of Hamilton and national midterm dynamics have kept Democratic hopes alive ahead of the November 3 general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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