Democratic nominee Graham Platner holds a 66.5% implied probability in the 2026 Maine Senate race against incumbent Republican Susan Collins at 34.5%, reflecting trader consensus on the post-primary matchup. Primaries concluded June 9 with Platner securing the Democratic nomination after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April. Recent polls, including Quantus Insights and Tavern Research surveys from early to mid-June, show Platner leading or tied within the margin of error in a state that has not supported Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Collins’s long tenure as a moderate Republican provides incumbency advantages, yet voter surveys indicate Platner’s veteran background and grassroots support have narrowed historical Republican edges. Ranked-choice voting and turnout among independent voters remain key variables ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Maine
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales du Maine
$520,169 Vol.
$520,169 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
67%
Républicain
35%
$520,169 Vol.
$520,169 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Démocrate
$312,665 Vol.
67%
Républicain
$209,708 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee Graham Platner holds a 66.5% implied probability in the 2026 Maine Senate race against incumbent Republican Susan Collins at 34.5%, reflecting trader consensus on the post-primary matchup. Primaries concluded June 9 with Platner securing the Democratic nomination after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April. Recent polls, including Quantus Insights and Tavern Research surveys from early to mid-June, show Platner leading or tied within the margin of error in a state that has not supported Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Collins’s long tenure as a moderate Republican provides incumbency advantages, yet voter surveys indicate Platner’s veteran background and grassroots support have narrowed historical Republican edges. Ranked-choice voting and turnout among independent voters remain key variables ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volume
$520,169Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Democratic nominee Graham Platner holds a 66.5% implied probability in the 2026 Maine Senate race against incumbent Republican Susan Collins at 34.5%, reflecting trader consensus on the post-primary matchup. Primaries concluded June 9 with Platner securing the Democratic nomination after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April. Recent polls, including Quantus Insights and Tavern Research surveys from early to mid-June, show Platner leading or tied within the margin of error in a state that has not supported Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Collins’s long tenure as a moderate Republican provides incumbency advantages, yet voter surveys indicate Platner’s veteran background and grassroots support have narrowed historical Republican edges. Ranked-choice voting and turnout among independent voters remain key variables ahead of the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$520,169Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic nominee Graham Platner holds a 66.5% implied probability in the 2026 Maine Senate race against incumbent Republican Susan Collins at 34.5%, reflecting trader consensus on the post-primary matchup. Primaries concluded June 9 with Platner securing the Democratic nomination after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April. Recent polls, including Quantus Insights and Tavern Research surveys from early to mid-June, show Platner leading or tied within the margin of error in a state that has not supported Republican presidential candidates in recent cycles. Collins’s long tenure as a moderate Republican provides incumbency advantages, yet voter surveys indicate Platner’s veteran background and grassroots support have narrowed historical Republican edges. Ranked-choice voting and turnout among independent voters remain key variables ahead of the November general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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