Catalina Lauf holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the August 18, 2026, Republican primary in Florida’s 19th Congressional District, an open seat following Byron Donalds’ gubernatorial bid. Strong first-quarter fundraising of over $540,000 and endorsements from sitting members of Congress have bolstered her position against a crowded field that includes local businessman Jim Schwartzel, who has also reported substantial hauls. Recent attack ads from a conservative PAC targeting Lauf’s prior Illinois record have introduced negative campaigning, while Madison Cawthorn’s comeback effort and Jim Oberweis’s experience as a former state senator remain secondary factors. The primary’s winner is expected to prevail in the solidly Republican general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCatalina Lauf 52%
Jim Schwartzel 18.9%
Jim Oberweis 11.2%
Madison Cawthorn 9.7%
$24,287 Vol.
$24,287 Vol.
Catalina Lauf
52%
Jim Schwartzel
19%
Jim Oberweis
11%
Madison Cawthorn
10%
Spencer Roach
8%
Bob Rommel
2%
Catalina Lauf 52%
Jim Schwartzel 18.9%
Jim Oberweis 11.2%
Madison Cawthorn 9.7%
$24,287 Vol.
$24,287 Vol.
Catalina Lauf
52%
Jim Schwartzel
19%
Jim Oberweis
11%
Madison Cawthorn
10%
Spencer Roach
8%
Bob Rommel
2%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Nov 25, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Catalina Lauf holds a narrow lead in trader consensus for the August 18, 2026, Republican primary in Florida’s 19th Congressional District, an open seat following Byron Donalds’ gubernatorial bid. Strong first-quarter fundraising of over $540,000 and endorsements from sitting members of Congress have bolstered her position against a crowded field that includes local businessman Jim Schwartzel, who has also reported substantial hauls. Recent attack ads from a conservative PAC targeting Lauf’s prior Illinois record have introduced negative campaigning, while Madison Cawthorn’s comeback effort and Jim Oberweis’s experience as a former state senator remain secondary factors. The primary’s winner is expected to prevail in the solidly Republican general election.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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