Johnny Garrett leads the TN-06 Republican primary field at 72% implied probability due to his role as state House Republican whip, substantial fundraising edge, and high-profile endorsements from figures including House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, and conservative influencer Riley Gaines. Van Hilleary trails at 27.5% as a former U.S. Representative and current chief of staff to retiring incumbent John Rose, bolstered by recent backing from state House Speaker Cameron Sexton and local officials. Both frontrunners have engaged in AI-generated attack ads amid the open-seat contest, while lesser-known candidates Jon Henry and Natisha Brooks remain at minimal odds. With the August 6 primary just days away, trader consensus reflects Garrett's organizational and institutional advantages in a race centered on Trump-aligned priorities such as immigration enforcement and state-level policy records.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de la primaire républicaine TN-06
Vainqueur de la primaire républicaine TN-06
Johnny Garrett 72%
Van Hilleary 28%
Jon Henry 1.1%
Natisha Brooks <1%
Johnny Garrett
72%
Van Hilleary
28%
Jon Henry
1%
Natisha Brooks
<1%
Johnny Garrett 72%
Van Hilleary 28%
Jon Henry 1.1%
Natisha Brooks <1%
Johnny Garrett
72%
Van Hilleary
28%
Jon Henry
1%
Natisha Brooks
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Jul 23, 2026, 2:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Johnny Garrett leads the TN-06 Republican primary field at 72% implied probability due to his role as state House Republican whip, substantial fundraising edge, and high-profile endorsements from figures including House Majority Leader Steve Scalise, House Majority Whip Tom Emmer, and conservative influencer Riley Gaines. Van Hilleary trails at 27.5% as a former U.S. Representative and current chief of staff to retiring incumbent John Rose, bolstered by recent backing from state House Speaker Cameron Sexton and local officials. Both frontrunners have engaged in AI-generated attack ads amid the open-seat contest, while lesser-known candidates Jon Henry and Natisha Brooks remain at minimal odds. With the August 6 primary just days away, trader consensus reflects Garrett's organizational and institutional advantages in a race centered on Trump-aligned priorities such as immigration enforcement and state-level policy records.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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