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Élections·Primaire Républicaine

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Market icon
Élections·Primaire Républicaine

FL-06 Republican Primary Winner

Randy Fine 69%

Dan Bilzerian 21%

Charles Gambaro 5.9%

Aaron Baker 1.4%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$13,909 Vol.

Randy Fine 69%

Dan Bilzerian 21%

Charles Gambaro 5.9%

Aaron Baker 1.4%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$13,909 Vol.

Randy Fine

$1,008 Vol.

69%

Dan Bilzerian

$1,456 Vol.

21%

Charles Gambaro

$415 Vol.

6%

Aaron Baker

$665 Vol.

1%

Alexandra Van Cleef

$637 Vol.

1%

Ernest Audino

$9,260 Vol.

1%

Joshua Vasquez

$468 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine leads trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability in the FL-06 Republican primary, bolstered by his recent special election victory, endorsements from all six district sheriffs, and one-year record of opening offices across counties and advancing bills through committee. Challenger Dan Bilzerian surged to 21% following his high-profile filing last week, leveraging social media fame and anti-war rhetoric criticizing Fine's foreign policy stances, though his controversial profile tempers broader appeal. Charles Gambaro holds third at 5.9% amid a fresh endorsement from former candidate Ben Johnson, while others trail amid a crowded field ahead of the August 18 primary; no public polls yet gauge voter turnout or swing voter dynamics in this safe Republican district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$13,909
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Randy Fine leads trader consensus at 68.5% implied probability in the FL-06 Republican primary, bolstered by his recent special election victory, endorsements from all six district sheriffs, and one-year record of opening offices across counties and advancing bills through committee. Challenger Dan Bilzerian surged to 21% following his high-profile filing last week, leveraging social media fame and anti-war rhetoric criticizing Fine's foreign policy stances, though his controversial profile tempers broader appeal. Charles Gambaro holds third at 5.9% amid a fresh endorsement from former candidate Ben Johnson, while others trail amid a crowded field ahead of the August 18 primary; no public polls yet gauge voter turnout or swing voter dynamics in this safe Republican district.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$13,909
Date de fin
18 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 6:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Questions fréquentes

« FL-06 Republican Primary Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Randy Fine » à 69%, suivi de « Dan Bilzerian » à 21%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 69¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 69% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « FL-06 Republican Primary Winner » a généré $13.9K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 13, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « FL-06 Republican Primary Winner », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « FL-06 Republican Primary Winner » est « Randy Fine » à 69%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 69% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Dan Bilzerian » à 21%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « FL-06 Republican Primary Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.