Elaine Pelino holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Rhode Island Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting consistent polling advantages over Aaron Guckian in the low-turnout contest. Multiple surveys from June through August 2026 showed Pelino ahead by double digits among likely Republican primary voters, even after the state party endorsed Guckian at its June convention. Other declared candidates, including Robert Raimondo, have withdrawn or failed to qualify, narrowing the field ahead of the September 9 primary. With early voting already underway, Pelino’s positioning as an outsider emphasizing spending restraint and regulatory rollback appears to have consolidated support among the small electorate. A dramatic late development or turnout surge favoring the party-endorsed candidate could still alter the result, though such shifts appear unlikely given the timeline and polling trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourElaine Pelino 94%
Aaron Guckian 5.2%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$54,921 Vol.
$54,921 Vol.

Elaine Pelino
94%

Aaron Guckian
5%

Robert Raimondo
<1%

Ashley Kalus
<1%

Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
Elaine Pelino 94%
Aaron Guckian 5.2%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$54,921 Vol.
$54,921 Vol.

Elaine Pelino
94%

Aaron Guckian
5%

Robert Raimondo
<1%

Ashley Kalus
<1%

Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Marché ouvert : Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Elaine Pelino holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Rhode Island Republican gubernatorial primary, reflecting consistent polling advantages over Aaron Guckian in the low-turnout contest. Multiple surveys from June through August 2026 showed Pelino ahead by double digits among likely Republican primary voters, even after the state party endorsed Guckian at its June convention. Other declared candidates, including Robert Raimondo, have withdrawn or failed to qualify, narrowing the field ahead of the September 9 primary. With early voting already underway, Pelino’s positioning as an outsider emphasizing spending restraint and regulatory rollback appears to have consolidated support among the small electorate. A dramatic late development or turnout surge favoring the party-endorsed candidate could still alter the result, though such shifts appear unlikely given the timeline and polling trends.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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