Jay Feely holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Arizona 1st Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, driven primarily by his endorsement from President Trump and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1 million in contributions and loans. State Representative Joseph Chaplik, who resigned his legislative seat to focus on the race, has secured some early polling support and local conservative backing but trails significantly in market pricing amid lower campaign resources. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent David Schweikert, features a crowded field where name recognition from Feely’s NFL background and media profile appears to outweigh Chaplik’s legislative experience in shaping bettor assessments of the July outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourJay Feely 78%
Joseph Chaplik 12.9%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita <1%
John Trobough <1%
$424,487 Vol.
$424,487 Vol.
Jay Feely
78%
Joseph Chaplik
18%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
1%
John Trobough
1%
Brandon Sowers
<1%
Jason Duey
<1%
Matt Gress
<1%
Todd Graham
<1%
Kari Lake
<1%
Derrick Gallego
<1%
Gina Swoboda
<1%
Kaitlin Purrington
<1%
Paul Reevs
<1%
Jay Feely 78%
Joseph Chaplik 12.9%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita <1%
John Trobough <1%
$424,487 Vol.
$424,487 Vol.
Jay Feely
78%
Joseph Chaplik
18%
Muchelle Ugenti-Rita
1%
John Trobough
1%
Brandon Sowers
<1%
Jason Duey
<1%
Matt Gress
<1%
Todd Graham
<1%
Kari Lake
<1%
Derrick Gallego
<1%
Gina Swoboda
<1%
Kaitlin Purrington
<1%
Paul Reevs
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Jay Feely holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for the Arizona 1st Congressional District Republican primary on July 21, 2026, driven primarily by his endorsement from President Trump and substantial fundraising advantage exceeding $1 million in contributions and loans. State Representative Joseph Chaplik, who resigned his legislative seat to focus on the race, has secured some early polling support and local conservative backing but trails significantly in market pricing amid lower campaign resources. The open seat, vacated by retiring incumbent David Schweikert, features a crowded field where name recognition from Feely’s NFL background and media profile appears to outweigh Chaplik’s legislative experience in shaping bettor assessments of the July outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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