Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) and incumbent Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) remain locked in a tight first-round contest for the Espírito Santo governorship, with the October 4 vote and potential October 25 runoff approaching. Recent August polling from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest showed the pair in a statistical tie or narrow margins, with Pazolini at 39% and Ferraço at 38% in one survey and Ferraço holding modest leads of 35-42% in others, well within margins of error. Ferraço benefits from strong approval ratings above 70% tied to his record as governor, while Pazolini draws support particularly among younger voters following his resignation as Vitória mayor. Other registered candidates, including Helder Salomão (PT), register single-digit support and appear unlikely to advance, leaving the race dynamics centered on turnout, undecided voters, and any late shifts before the first round determines whether a runoff occurs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLorenzo Pazolini 51%
Ricardo Ferraço 48%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$41,625 Vol.
$41,625 Vol.
30 juin 2027
Lorenzo Pazolini
51%
Ricardo Ferraço
48%
Sergio Vidigal
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
<1%
Lorenzo Pazolini 51%
Ricardo Ferraço 48%
Sergio Vidigal <1%
Arnaldinho Borgo <1%
$41,625 Vol.
$41,625 Vol.
30 juin 2027
Lorenzo Pazolini
$14,899 Vol.
51%
Ricardo Ferraço
$14,844 Vol.
48%
Sergio Vidigal
$3,569 Vol.
<1%
Arnaldinho Borgo
$4,885 Vol.
<1%
Euclério Sampaio
$3,428 Vol.
<1%
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) and incumbent Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) remain locked in a tight first-round contest for the Espírito Santo governorship, with the October 4 vote and potential October 25 runoff approaching. Recent August polling from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest showed the pair in a statistical tie or narrow margins, with Pazolini at 39% and Ferraço at 38% in one survey and Ferraço holding modest leads of 35-42% in others, well within margins of error. Ferraço benefits from strong approval ratings above 70% tied to his record as governor, while Pazolini draws support particularly among younger voters following his resignation as Vitória mayor. Other registered candidates, including Helder Salomão (PT), register single-digit support and appear unlikely to advance, leaving the race dynamics centered on turnout, undecided voters, and any late shifts before the first round determines whether a runoff occurs.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Volume
$41,625Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) and incumbent Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) remain locked in a tight first-round contest for the Espírito Santo governorship, with the October 4 vote and potential October 25 runoff approaching. Recent August polling from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest showed the pair in a statistical tie or narrow margins, with Pazolini at 39% and Ferraço at 38% in one survey and Ferraço holding modest leads of 35-42% in others, well within margins of error. Ferraço benefits from strong approval ratings above 70% tied to his record as governor, while Pazolini draws support particularly among younger voters following his resignation as Vitória mayor. Other registered candidates, including Helder Salomão (PT), register single-digit support and appear unlikely to advance, leaving the race dynamics centered on turnout, undecided voters, and any late shifts before the first round determines whether a runoff occurs.
The Espírito Santo gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$41,625Date de fin
1 juil. 2027Marché ouvert
Jun 12, 2026, 10:41 AM ETRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) and incumbent Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) remain locked in a tight first-round contest for the Espírito Santo governorship, with the October 4 vote and potential October 25 runoff approaching. Recent August polling from Paraná Pesquisas and Quaest showed the pair in a statistical tie or narrow margins, with Pazolini at 39% and Ferraço at 38% in one survey and Ferraço holding modest leads of 35-42% in others, well within margins of error. Ferraço benefits from strong approval ratings above 70% tied to his record as governor, while Pazolini draws support particularly among younger voters following his resignation as Vitória mayor. Other registered candidates, including Helder Salomão (PT), register single-digit support and appear unlikely to advance, leaving the race dynamics centered on turnout, undecided voters, and any late shifts before the first round determines whether a runoff occurs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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