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icon for Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 1ère place

icon for Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 1ère place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 1ère place

Simone Tebet 36%

Marina Silva 30%

André do Prado 23%

Guilherme Derrite 21%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Simone Tebet 36%

Marina Silva 30%

André do Prado 23%

Guilherme Derrite 21%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Simone Tebet

Simone Tebet

$20 Vol.

36%

icon for Marina Silva

Marina Silva

$20 Vol.

30%

icon for André do Prado

André do Prado

$20 Vol.

23%

icon for Guilherme Derrite

Guilherme Derrite

$40 Vol.

25%

icon for Maíra de Souza

Maíra de Souza

$20 Vol.

21%

icon for Soninha Francine

Soninha Francine

$20 Vol.

19%

icon for Ednelson Cesaretti

Ednelson Cesaretti

$20 Vol.

19%

icon for Weller Gonçalves

Weller Gonçalves

$58 Vol.

22%

icon for Geraldo Rufino

Geraldo Rufino

$20 Vol.

17%

icon for Salles

Salles

$20 Vol.

11%

icon for Petter Maahs

Petter Maahs

$42 Vol.

8%

icon for Marcio Alves

Marcio Alves

$40 Vol.

8%

icon for William Teixeira

William Teixeira

$40 Vol.

8%

icon for Dra. Eliana Ferreira

Dra. Eliana Ferreira

$59 Vol.

8%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In São Paulo’s October 4 Senate contest for two seats, trader pricing reflects a highly fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, with recent polls showing Simone Tebet (PSB), Marina Silva (Rede), Guilherme Derrite (PP), and André do Prado (PL) clustered within the margin of error near the top. Official campaigning opened August 16, intensifying competition among center-left figures tied to the Lula administration and right-leaning names associated with Governor Tarcísio de Freitas and former President Bolsonaro. The two-seat structure and absence of a dominant frontrunner keep implied probabilities compressed, as modest shifts in turnout among urban voters, evangelical blocs, or undecideds could reorder the ranking. No single late-breaking event has yet consolidated support behind one contender.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$438
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).In São Paulo’s October 4 Senate contest for two seats, trader pricing reflects a highly fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, with recent polls showing Simone Tebet (PSB), Marina Silva (Rede), Guilherme Derrite (PP), and André do Prado (PL) clustered within the margin of error near the top. Official campaigning opened August 16, intensifying competition among center-left figures tied to the Lula administration and right-leaning names associated with Governor Tarcísio de Freitas and former President Bolsonaro. The two-seat structure and absence of a dominant frontrunner keep implied probabilities compressed, as modest shifts in turnout among urban voters, evangelical blocs, or undecideds could reorder the ranking. No single late-breaking event has yet consolidated support behind one contender.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$438
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:11 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Guilherme Derrite remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de São Paulo en 2026 ?

Guilherme Derrite remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de São Paulo en 2026 ?

30%
Oui
icon for Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

Will Alexandre Curi win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?

32%
icon for Helder remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Pará en 2026 ?

Helder remportera-t-il le plus de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de Pará en 2026 ?

69%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 1ère place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 14 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Simone Tebet » à 36%, suivi de « Marina Silva » à 30%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 36¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 1ère place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 1ère place », parcourez les 14 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 1ère place » est « Simone Tebet » à 36%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 36% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Marina Silva » à 30%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 1ère place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.