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icon for Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 2e place

icon for Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 2e place
Politique·Brésil

Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 2e place

Marina Silva 18%

Simone Tebet 17%

Petter Maahs 16%

Guilherme Derrite 14%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Marina Silva 18%

Simone Tebet 17%

Petter Maahs 16%

Guilherme Derrite 14%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Marina Silva

Marina Silva

$98 Vol.

26%

icon for Simone Tebet

Simone Tebet

$98 Vol.

23%

icon for Petter Maahs

Petter Maahs

$38 Vol.

16%

icon for Guilherme Derrite

Guilherme Derrite

$127 Vol.

14%

icon for Soninha Francine

Soninha Francine

$59 Vol.

25%

icon for Geraldo Rufino

Geraldo Rufino

$45 Vol.

11%

icon for Weller Gonçalves

Weller Gonçalves

$38 Vol.

11%

icon for Maíra de Souza

Maíra de Souza

$38 Vol.

10%

icon for André do Prado

André do Prado

$78 Vol.

10%

icon for Salles

Salles

$58 Vol.

10%

icon for Dra. Eliana Ferreira

Dra. Eliana Ferreira

$58 Vol.

9%

icon for Marcio Alves

Marcio Alves

$58 Vol.

8%

icon for William Teixeira

William Teixeira

$78 Vol.

7%

icon for Ednelson Cesaretti

Ednelson Cesaretti

$60 Vol.

6%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The São Paulo Senate race for the two seats up on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with multiple candidates clustered in early intention surveys and no clear frontrunner for second place. Simone Tebet (PSB) and Marina Silva have drawn support as Lula-backed moderates following their official nominations at state conventions, while Guilherme Derrite, Petter Maahs, and others from center-right and conservative slates stay competitive in a field that includes more than two dozen registered contenders. Incumbent senators largely stepped aside, opening the contest and amplifying volatility. This setup keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched near 30-50 percent across leading names, as vote splitting and turnout among key blocs could easily reorder the final ranking before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$934
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The São Paulo Senate race for the two seats up on October 4 remains highly fragmented, with multiple candidates clustered in early intention surveys and no clear frontrunner for second place. Simone Tebet (PSB) and Marina Silva have drawn support as Lula-backed moderates following their official nominations at state conventions, while Guilherme Derrite, Petter Maahs, and others from center-right and conservative slates stay competitive in a field that includes more than two dozen registered contenders. Incumbent senators largely stepped aside, opening the contest and amplifying volatility. This setup keeps second-place probabilities tightly bunched near 30-50 percent across leading names, as vote splitting and turnout among key blocs could easily reorder the final ranking before election day.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$934
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 6:16 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for São Paulo is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

icon for Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

Will Simone Tebet win the most votes in the 2026 São Paulo Senate election?

37%
icon for Cristina Reis Graeml obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Paraná ?

Cristina Reis Graeml obtiendra-t-elle le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale de 2026 au Paraná ?

26%
Oui
icon for Tiago remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District Fédéral de 2026 ?

Tiago remportera-t-il le deuxième plus grand nombre de voix lors de l'élection sénatoriale du District Fédéral de 2026 ?

25%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 2e place » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 14 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Marina Silva » à 26%, suivi de « Soninha Francine » à 25%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 26¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 2e place » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 2e place », parcourez les 14 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 2e place » est « Marina Silva » à 26%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 26% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Soninha Francine » à 25%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Élection au Sénat de São Paulo : 2e place » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.