Ciro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race in recent first-round polling from AtlasIntel and Datafolha, holding 49–52% vote intention against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 33–44%, which underpins his 71% market price. As a former Ceará governor with established statewide name recognition, Gomes benefits from strong survey momentum heading into the October 4 first round. Elmano de Freitas, running for reelection on the PT ticket after winning in 2022, trails amid higher rejection rates but maintains a viable path if the race tightens in the runoff. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana register negligible support. Upcoming debates and additional polling releases within the next month could further shape trader assessments of first-round viability and runoff dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 71%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$159,803 Vol.
$159,803 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Ciro Gomes
71%
Elmano de Freitas
30%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 71%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$159,803 Vol.
$159,803 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Ciro Gomes
$83,483 Vol.
71%
Elmano de Freitas
$30,172 Vol.
30%
Eduardo Girão
$12,188 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$11,574 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$10,617 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$11,769 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race in recent first-round polling from AtlasIntel and Datafolha, holding 49–52% vote intention against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 33–44%, which underpins his 71% market price. As a former Ceará governor with established statewide name recognition, Gomes benefits from strong survey momentum heading into the October 4 first round. Elmano de Freitas, running for reelection on the PT ticket after winning in 2022, trails amid higher rejection rates but maintains a viable path if the race tightens in the runoff. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana register negligible support. Upcoming debates and additional polling releases within the next month could further shape trader assessments of first-round viability and runoff dynamics.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$159,803Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race in recent first-round polling from AtlasIntel and Datafolha, holding 49–52% vote intention against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 33–44%, which underpins his 71% market price. As a former Ceará governor with established statewide name recognition, Gomes benefits from strong survey momentum heading into the October 4 first round. Elmano de Freitas, running for reelection on the PT ticket after winning in 2022, trails amid higher rejection rates but maintains a viable path if the race tightens in the runoff. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana register negligible support. Upcoming debates and additional polling releases within the next month could further shape trader assessments of first-round viability and runoff dynamics.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$159,803Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes leads the 2026 Ceará gubernatorial race in recent first-round polling from AtlasIntel and Datafolha, holding 49–52% vote intention against incumbent Elmano de Freitas at 33–44%, which underpins his 71% market price. As a former Ceará governor with established statewide name recognition, Gomes benefits from strong survey momentum heading into the October 4 first round. Elmano de Freitas, running for reelection on the PT ticket after winning in 2022, trails amid higher rejection rates but maintains a viable path if the race tightens in the runoff. Minor candidates including Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana register negligible support. Upcoming debates and additional polling releases within the next month could further shape trader assessments of first-round viability and runoff dynamics.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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