Recent polling from AtlasIntel and Datafolha shows Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round voting intentions for the October 4, 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Gomes at 49–52% and Freitas at 33–45%. This shift has driven trader consensus toward Gomes at 71%, reflecting his prior term as governor, extensive national profile, and broad coalition alliances including PSDB, PL, and allied parties. The first televised debate in early August featured pointed exchanges on public security and past governance records. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support in surveys and markets. The race remains subject to further debates, coalition consolidations, and turnout dynamics ahead of the first-round vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 71%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$156,884 Vol.
$156,884 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Ciro Gomes
71%
Elmano de Freitas
30%
Eduardo Girão
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 71%
Elmano de Freitas 30%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$156,884 Vol.
$156,884 Vol.
4 oct. 2026
Ciro Gomes
$83,160 Vol.
71%
Elmano de Freitas
$28,823 Vol.
30%
Eduardo Girão
$11,888 Vol.
<1%
Roberto Cláudio
$11,226 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$10,317 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$11,470 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from AtlasIntel and Datafolha shows Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round voting intentions for the October 4, 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Gomes at 49–52% and Freitas at 33–45%. This shift has driven trader consensus toward Gomes at 71%, reflecting his prior term as governor, extensive national profile, and broad coalition alliances including PSDB, PL, and allied parties. The first televised debate in early August featured pointed exchanges on public security and past governance records. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support in surveys and markets. The race remains subject to further debates, coalition consolidations, and turnout dynamics ahead of the first-round vote.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$156,884Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling from AtlasIntel and Datafolha shows Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round voting intentions for the October 4, 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Gomes at 49–52% and Freitas at 33–45%. This shift has driven trader consensus toward Gomes at 71%, reflecting his prior term as governor, extensive national profile, and broad coalition alliances including PSDB, PL, and allied parties. The first televised debate in early August featured pointed exchanges on public security and past governance records. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support in surveys and markets. The race remains subject to further debates, coalition consolidations, and turnout dynamics ahead of the first-round vote.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$156,884Date de fin
4 oct. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from AtlasIntel and Datafolha shows Ciro Gomes (PSDB) leading incumbent Elmano de Freitas (PT) in first-round voting intentions for the October 4, 2026 Ceará gubernatorial election, with Gomes at 49–52% and Freitas at 33–45%. This shift has driven trader consensus toward Gomes at 71%, reflecting his prior term as governor, extensive national profile, and broad coalition alliances including PSDB, PL, and allied parties. The first televised debate in early August featured pointed exchanges on public security and past governance records. Minor candidates such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, and Roberto Cláudio register negligible support in surveys and markets. The race remains subject to further debates, coalition consolidations, and turnout dynamics ahead of the first-round vote.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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