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Politique·Élections Mondiales

Ceará Governor Election Winner

icon for Ceará Governor Election Winner
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Ceará Governor Election Winner

Ciro Gomes 67%

Elmano de Freitas 27%

Camilo Santana 5.1%

Capitão Wagner <1%

Polymarket

$55,551 Vol.

Ciro Gomes 67%

Elmano de Freitas 27%

Camilo Santana 5.1%

Capitão Wagner <1%

Polymarket

$55,551 Vol.

icon for Ciro Gomes

Ciro Gomes

$36,370 Vol.

67%

icon for Elmano de Freitas

Elmano de Freitas

$6,390 Vol.

27%

icon for Camilo Santana

Camilo Santana

$3,305 Vol.

5%

icon for Capitão Wagner

Capitão Wagner

$4,334 Vol.

1%

icon for Eduardo Girão

Eduardo Girão

$3,172 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Cláudio

Roberto Cláudio

$1,980 Vol.

<1%

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent opinion polls from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest conducted in April and May 2026 show Ciro Gomes leading incumbent governor Elmano de Freitas by double-digit margins in first-round voting intentions for the October 4 election, with Ciro at 41-47 percent and Elmano at 32 percent. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these surveys, reflecting Ciro’s strong name recognition as a former Ceará governor and multiple-time presidential candidate alongside his recent confirmation of a pre-candidacy. Elmano’s position as the Workers’ Party incumbent has not translated into comparable support in current polling. Lower probabilities for Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, Eduardo Girão, and Roberto Cláudio align with their minimal shares in the same surveys, indicating limited voter momentum at this stage. The race remains subject to change as the campaign period begins in August and additional candidates or alliances form ahead of a potential runoff.

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$55,551
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent opinion polls from Datafolha and Genial/Quaest conducted in April and May 2026 show Ciro Gomes leading incumbent governor Elmano de Freitas by double-digit margins in first-round voting intentions for the October 4 election, with Ciro at 41-47 percent and Elmano at 32 percent. Trader consensus in the market aligns with these surveys, reflecting Ciro’s strong name recognition as a former Ceará governor and multiple-time presidential candidate alongside his recent confirmation of a pre-candidacy. Elmano’s position as the Workers’ Party incumbent has not translated into comparable support in current polling. Lower probabilities for Camilo Santana, Capitão Wagner, Eduardo Girão, and Roberto Cláudio align with their minimal shares in the same surveys, indicating limited voter momentum at this stage. The race remains subject to change as the campaign period begins in August and additional candidates or alliances form ahead of a potential runoff.

The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$55,551
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Questions fréquentes

« Ceará Governor Election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Ciro Gomes » à 67%, suivi de « Elmano de Freitas » à 27%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 67¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 67% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Ceará Governor Election Winner » a généré $55.6K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le Apr 27, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Ceará Governor Election Winner », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Ceará Governor Election Winner » est « Ciro Gomes » à 67%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 67% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Elmano de Freitas » à 27%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Ceará Governor Election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.