The Pará gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 first round, with multiple candidates clustered near even odds in trader pricing. This reflects a fragmented field where no contender has consolidated broad support, typical of Brazilian state elections requiring over 50 percent in the opening ballot or a November runoff. Coalition-building among parties, regional voter blocs in the Amazon state, and campaign momentum on issues like infrastructure and public services will likely determine separation. Scheduled debates, candidate alliances, and early polling shifts could quickly alter implied probabilities before voting begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur du Pará
Dr. Daniel Santos 49%
Hana Ghassan 42%
Paulo Rocha 7.4%
Éder Mauro 3.5%
$22,337 Vol.
$22,337 Vol.
Dr. Daniel Santos
49%
Hana Ghassan
42%
Paulo Rocha
7%
Éder Mauro
4%
Zequinha Marinho
3%
Dirceu Ten Caten
3%
Rogério Barra
1%
Dr. Daniel Santos 49%
Hana Ghassan 42%
Paulo Rocha 7.4%
Éder Mauro 3.5%
$22,337 Vol.
$22,337 Vol.
Dr. Daniel Santos
49%
Hana Ghassan
42%
Paulo Rocha
7%
Éder Mauro
4%
Zequinha Marinho
3%
Dirceu Ten Caten
3%
Rogério Barra
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pará gubernatorial race remains highly competitive ahead of the October 2026 first round, with multiple candidates clustered near even odds in trader pricing. This reflects a fragmented field where no contender has consolidated broad support, typical of Brazilian state elections requiring over 50 percent in the opening ballot or a November runoff. Coalition-building among parties, regional voter blocs in the Amazon state, and campaign momentum on issues like infrastructure and public services will likely determine separation. Scheduled debates, candidate alliances, and early polling shifts could quickly alter implied probabilities before voting begins.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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