Hana Ghassan holds the leading position in the Pará governor race at 65.5% implied probability, reflecting her status as incumbent since April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation to pursue a Senate seat. She benefits from a broad coalition spanning MDB, PT, and allied parties, plus recent polling leads in September surveys that place her ahead of Dr. Daniel Santos. Daniel trails at 32.5% as the main challenger and former Ananindeua mayor, while fringe candidates and "other" options register minimal support near 0.1–0.4%. The first-round vote on October 4, with a possible runoff on October 25, remains the key resolution trigger, and trader consensus aligns with her structural advantages and latest poll momentum amid high undecided shares.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHana Ghassan 66%
Dr. Daniel Santos 31%
Éder Mauro <1%
Zequinha Marinho <1%
$49,152 Vol.
$49,152 Vol.

Hana Ghassan
66%

Dr. Daniel Santos
31%

Éder Mauro
<1%

Zequinha Marinho
<1%

Rogério Barra
<1%

Paulo Rocha
<1%

Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
Hana Ghassan 66%
Dr. Daniel Santos 31%
Éder Mauro <1%
Zequinha Marinho <1%
$49,152 Vol.
$49,152 Vol.

Hana Ghassan
66%

Dr. Daniel Santos
31%

Éder Mauro
<1%

Zequinha Marinho
<1%

Rogério Barra
<1%

Paulo Rocha
<1%

Dirceu Ten Caten
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 10:18 PM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Résolveur
0x69c47De9D...Hana Ghassan holds the leading position in the Pará governor race at 65.5% implied probability, reflecting her status as incumbent since April 2026 after Helder Barbalho's resignation to pursue a Senate seat. She benefits from a broad coalition spanning MDB, PT, and allied parties, plus recent polling leads in September surveys that place her ahead of Dr. Daniel Santos. Daniel trails at 32.5% as the main challenger and former Ananindeua mayor, while fringe candidates and "other" options register minimal support near 0.1–0.4%. The first-round vote on October 4, with a possible runoff on October 25, remains the key resolution trigger, and trader consensus aligns with her structural advantages and latest poll momentum amid high undecided shares.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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