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Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas
Politique·Brésil

Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas

Omar Aziz 53%

Professeure Maria do Carmo 53%

Roberto Cidade 45%

Cabo Daciolo 41%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Omar Aziz 53%

Professeure Maria do Carmo 53%

Roberto Cidade 45%

Cabo Daciolo 41%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Omar Aziz

Omar Aziz

$0 Vol.

53%

icon for Professeure Maria do Carmo

Professeure Maria do Carmo

$0 Vol.

53%

icon for Roberto Cidade

Roberto Cidade

$0 Vol.

45%

icon for Cabo Daciolo

Cabo Daciolo

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for David Almeida

David Almeida

$0 Vol.

29%

icon for Gilberto Vasconcelos

Gilberto Vasconcelos

$20 Vol.

8%

icon for Isael Munduruku

Isael Munduruku

$25 Vol.

7%

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial race stays tightly contested because a fragmented field of viable contenders continues to split voter preferences in recent polls, with no candidate consolidating a clear majority ahead of the October 4 first round. Omar Aziz (PSD) and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) sit at the front of trader pricing after securing key coalition backing and performing steadily in July-August surveys, while Roberto Cidade (UNIÃO) and David Almeida (Avante) remain within striking distance in the low-to-mid twenties. The first debate among leading names occurred in mid-August, highlighting policy contrasts on state management and economic issues without producing decisive shifts. Upcoming polling releases, coalition negotiations, and regional turnout patterns in Manaus versus the interior could widen gaps or force a runoff scenario before election day.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$45
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial race stays tightly contested because a fragmented field of viable contenders continues to split voter preferences in recent polls, with no candidate consolidating a clear majority ahead of the October 4 first round. Omar Aziz (PSD) and Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) sit at the front of trader pricing after securing key coalition backing and performing steadily in July-August surveys, while Roberto Cidade (UNIÃO) and David Almeida (Avante) remain within striking distance in the low-to-mid twenties. The first debate among leading names occurred in mid-August, highlighting policy contrasts on state management and economic issues without producing decisive shifts. Upcoming polling releases, coalition negotiations, and regional turnout patterns in Manaus versus the interior could widen gaps or force a runoff scenario before election day.

The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$45
Date de fin
4 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Aug 17, 2026, 5:28 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Amazonas gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Connexes

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Hana Ghassan va-t-elle gagner l'élection du Gouverneur du Pará ?

46%
Oui
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Lucas Ribeiro va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de la Paraíba ?

75%
Oui
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Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Omar Aziz » à 53%, suivi de « Professeure Maria do Carmo » à 53%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 53¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Aug 17, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas » est « Omar Aziz » à 53%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 53% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Professeure Maria do Carmo » à 53%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du gouverneur d'Amazonas » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.