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Politique·Principales élections

Makerfield by-election Winner

icon for Makerfield by-election Winner
Politique·Principales élections

Makerfield by-election Winner

Andy Burnham 57%

Robert Kenyon 38%

Maria Deery 1.1%

James Thomas Bryer <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$12,083 Vol.

Andy Burnham 57%

Robert Kenyon 38%

Maria Deery 1.1%

James Thomas Bryer <1%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

$12,083 Vol.

Andy Burnham

$6,370 Vol.

57%

Robert Kenyon

$1,974 Vol.

38%

Maria Deery

$1,165 Vol.

1%

James Thomas Bryer

$297 Vol.

1%

John Skipworth

$1,008 Vol.

1%

Simon Finkelstein

$1,269 Vol.

<1%

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The resignation of Labour MP Josh Simons on 14 May 2026 to create an opening for Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has established the latter as the frontrunner in the Makerfield by-election, set for 18 June. Traders assign Burnham 57% implied probability, reflecting his strong local name recognition from prior service as MP for the nearby Leigh constituency and current regional role, alongside Labour NEC approval for his candidacy and backing from senior figures such as Wes Streeting. Reform UK's Robert Kenyon, who finished second in the 2024 general election and recently won a local council seat in the area, holds 38% as the main challenger, capitalizing on the party's rising support in the constituency. Minor candidates remain marginal, with the contest centered on this Labour-Reform dynamic.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$12,083
Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).The resignation of Labour MP Josh Simons on 14 May 2026 to create an opening for Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham has established the latter as the frontrunner in the Makerfield by-election, set for 18 June. Traders assign Burnham 57% implied probability, reflecting his strong local name recognition from prior service as MP for the nearby Leigh constituency and current regional role, alongside Labour NEC approval for his candidacy and backing from senior figures such as Wes Streeting. Reform UK's Robert Kenyon, who finished second in the 2024 general election and recently won a local council seat in the area, holds 38% as the main challenger, capitalizing on the party's rising support in the constituency. Minor candidates remain marginal, with the contest centered on this Labour-Reform dynamic.

A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026.

If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).
Volume
$12,083
Marché ouvert
May 14, 2026, 7:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election for the United Kingdom parliamentary constituency of Makerfield is expected to be held in 2026 following the announced resignation of incumbent Josh Simons. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Makerfield parliamentary by-election in 2026. If the election results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Wigan Council (https://www.wigan.gov.uk/).

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Questions fréquentes

« Makerfield by-election Winner » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 6 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Andy Burnham » à 57%, suivi de « Robert Kenyon » à 38%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 57¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

À ce jour, « Makerfield by-election Winner » a généré $12.1K en volume total de trading depuis le lancement du marché le May 14, 2026. Ce niveau d'activité reflète un fort engagement de la communauté Polymarket et garantit que les cotes actuelles sont alimentées par un large bassin de participants. Vous pouvez suivre les mouvements de prix en direct et trader sur n'importe quel résultat directement sur cette page.

Pour trader sur « Makerfield by-election Winner », parcourez les 6 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Makerfield by-election Winner » est « Andy Burnham » à 57%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 57% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Robert Kenyon » à 38%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Makerfield by-election Winner » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.