**Keiko Fujimori’s July 2026 inauguration as Peru’s president, following her narrow runoff victory over Roberto Sánchez, has solidified the low odds of a 2026 pardon for Pedro Castillo.** Sánchez, viewed as Castillo’s political heir, had campaigned on granting an *indulto* or *gracia presidencial*, but Fujimori’s administration has ruled such clemency “impossible” under current conditions. The interim Balcázar government rejected or declared inadmissible at least 17 pardon requests through the Ministry of Justice’s Comisión de Gracias Presidenciales, citing procedural failures, pending cases, and legal requirements. Castillo remains imprisoned serving an 11-year, 5-month sentence for rebellion and conspiracy tied to his December 2022 self-coup attempt, with appeals and additional proceedings ongoing. Fujimori’s conservative government and Congress have shown no inclination to revisit the matter before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourPedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
Pedro Castillo pardoned in 2026?
11% chance
$43,495 Vol.
$43,495 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
11% chance
$43,495 Vol.
$43,495 Vol.
30 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Keiko Fujimori’s July 2026 inauguration as Peru’s president, following her narrow runoff victory over Roberto Sánchez, has solidified the low odds of a 2026 pardon for Pedro Castillo.** Sánchez, viewed as Castillo’s political heir, had campaigned on granting an *indulto* or *gracia presidencial*, but Fujimori’s administration has ruled such clemency “impossible” under current conditions. The interim Balcázar government rejected or declared inadmissible at least 17 pardon requests through the Ministry of Justice’s Comisión de Gracias Presidenciales, citing procedural failures, pending cases, and legal requirements. Castillo remains imprisoned serving an 11-year, 5-month sentence for rebellion and conspiracy tied to his December 2022 self-coup attempt, with appeals and additional proceedings ongoing. Fujimori’s conservative government and Congress have shown no inclination to revisit the matter before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ET
Volume
$43,495Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. **Keiko Fujimori’s July 2026 inauguration as Peru’s president, following her narrow runoff victory over Roberto Sánchez, has solidified the low odds of a 2026 pardon for Pedro Castillo.** Sánchez, viewed as Castillo’s political heir, had campaigned on granting an *indulto* or *gracia presidencial*, but Fujimori’s administration has ruled such clemency “impossible” under current conditions. The interim Balcázar government rejected or declared inadmissible at least 17 pardon requests through the Ministry of Justice’s Comisión de Gracias Presidenciales, citing procedural failures, pending cases, and legal requirements. Castillo remains imprisoned serving an 11-year, 5-month sentence for rebellion and conspiracy tied to his December 2022 self-coup attempt, with appeals and additional proceedings ongoing. Fujimori’s conservative government and Congress have shown no inclination to revisit the matter before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pedro Castillo receives a presidential pardon, commutation, right of grace, humanitarian pardon, or other formal grant of clemency from the President of Peru by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying grant of clemency must be officially issued by the President of Peru and must relieve Castillo, in whole or in part, from criminal liability, criminal proceedings, conviction, sentence, or criminal penalties in connection with any criminal case.
A qualifying grant of clemency will resolve this market to "Yes" regardless of whether it is later challenged, revoked, annulled, or declared invalid.
Court rulings, acquittals, dismissals, legislative amnesties, prosecutorial decisions, prison transfers, releases from custody, or other actions that do not involve a formal presidential grant of clemency will not qualify.
The primary resolution source will be official information from the Government of Peru. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$43,495Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 9, 2026, 7:32 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...**Keiko Fujimori’s July 2026 inauguration as Peru’s president, following her narrow runoff victory over Roberto Sánchez, has solidified the low odds of a 2026 pardon for Pedro Castillo.** Sánchez, viewed as Castillo’s political heir, had campaigned on granting an *indulto* or *gracia presidencial*, but Fujimori’s administration has ruled such clemency “impossible” under current conditions. The interim Balcázar government rejected or declared inadmissible at least 17 pardon requests through the Ministry of Justice’s Comisión de Gracias Presidenciales, citing procedural failures, pending cases, and legal requirements. Castillo remains imprisoned serving an 11-year, 5-month sentence for rebellion and conspiracy tied to his December 2022 self-coup attempt, with appeals and additional proceedings ongoing. Fujimori’s conservative government and Congress have shown no inclination to revisit the matter before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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