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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du lieutenant-gouverneur du Vermont
Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur de l'élection du lieutenant-gouverneur du Vermont

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du lieutenant-gouverneur du Vermont
Politique·Midterms

Vainqueur de l'élection du lieutenant-gouverneur du Vermont

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Molly Gray (D)

Molly Gray (D)

$942 Vol.

92%

icon for John S. Rodgers (R)

John S. Rodgers (R)

$551 Vol.

11%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Molly Gray holds an 86% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor race because she secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 61% of the vote against Ryan McLaren and Esther Charlestin, positioning her as the clear challenger to Republican incumbent John S. Rodgers. Gray previously held the office from 2021 to 2023 and brings name recognition plus endorsements from state legislative leaders and former governors. Rodgers won his party’s nomination unopposed after defeating the prior incumbent in 2024, but pre-primary polling showed Gray leading hypothetical general-election matchups by double digits. Vermont’s Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with the absence of major new developments since the primaries, underpins trader consensus favoring Gray ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$1,197
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Molly Gray holds an 86% implied probability in the Vermont lieutenant governor race because she secured the Democratic nomination in the August 11 primary with roughly 61% of the vote against Ryan McLaren and Esther Charlestin, positioning her as the clear challenger to Republican incumbent John S. Rodgers. Gray previously held the office from 2021 to 2023 and brings name recognition plus endorsements from state legislative leaders and former governors. Rodgers won his party’s nomination unopposed after defeating the prior incumbent in 2024, but pre-primary polling showed Gray leading hypothetical general-election matchups by double digits. Vermont’s Democratic lean in statewide contests, combined with the absence of major new developments since the primaries, underpins trader consensus favoring Gray ahead of the November 3 general election.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$1,197
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 2:02 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

Connexes

icon for Le candidat du Parti démocrate remportera-t-il l'élection du lieutenant-gouverneur de Géorgie en 2026 ?

Le candidat du Parti démocrate remportera-t-il l'élection du lieutenant-gouverneur de Géorgie en 2026 ?

52%
Oui
icon for Le candidat du Parti républicain remportera-t-il l'élection du lieutenant-gouverneur du Texas en 2026 ?

Le candidat du Parti républicain remportera-t-il l'élection du lieutenant-gouverneur du Texas en 2026 ?

78%
Oui
icon for Fiona Ma va-t-elle gagner l'élection du lieutenant-gouverneur de Californie en 2026 ?

Fiona Ma va-t-elle gagner l'élection du lieutenant-gouverneur de Californie en 2026 ?

95%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du lieutenant-gouverneur du Vermont » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Molly Gray (D) » à 92%, suivi de « John S. Rodgers (R) » à 11%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 92¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du lieutenant-gouverneur du Vermont » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 4, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du lieutenant-gouverneur du Vermont », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du lieutenant-gouverneur du Vermont » est « Molly Gray (D) » à 92%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 92% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « John S. Rodgers (R) » à 11%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du lieutenant-gouverneur du Vermont » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.