**Republican incumbent Jake Ellzey holds a strong position in Texas’s 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The district’s R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a roughly 23-point Trump margin in 2024, underpin the 91% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Ellzey secured renomination comfortably in the March primary, while Democrat Danny Minton faces limited resources and no primary opposition. Independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. A significant national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in the Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without major unforeseen developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourTX-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
TX-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$36,613 Vol.
$36,613 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
92%
Parti démocrate
9%
$36,613 Vol.
$36,613 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$14,945 Vol.
92%
Parti démocrate
$21,668 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Jake Ellzey holds a strong position in Texas’s 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The district’s R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a roughly 23-point Trump margin in 2024, underpin the 91% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Ellzey secured renomination comfortably in the March primary, while Democrat Danny Minton faces limited resources and no primary opposition. Independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. A significant national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in the Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without major unforeseen developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$36,613Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Republican incumbent Jake Ellzey holds a strong position in Texas’s 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The district’s R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a roughly 23-point Trump margin in 2024, underpin the 91% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Ellzey secured renomination comfortably in the March primary, while Democrat Danny Minton faces limited resources and no primary opposition. Independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. A significant national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in the Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without major unforeseen developments.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$36,613Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...**Republican incumbent Jake Ellzey holds a strong position in Texas’s 6th congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election.** The district’s R+11 partisan voting index and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles, including a roughly 23-point Trump margin in 2024, underpin the 91% implied probability for the Republican nominee. Ellzey secured renomination comfortably in the March primary, while Democrat Danny Minton faces limited resources and no primary opposition. Independent ratings from the Cook Political Report, Sabato’s Crystal Ball, and others classify the seat as solid or safe Republican. A significant national Democratic wave, late-breaking scandal, or unusually high turnout among Democratic-leaning voters in the Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs could narrow the margin, though structural factors make such shifts unlikely without major unforeseen developments.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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