Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 18th Congressional District in a May 2026 runoff and now holds incumbent status ahead of the November general election. The Houston-area district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, driven by its urban demographics and voting patterns. Ronald Whitfield advanced from the Republican primary but faces structural barriers in a seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins. Trader consensus assigns Menefee overwhelming odds, consistent with historical base rates for similar districts. Potential shifts could stem from major late-cycle developments such as candidate health issues, significant scandals, or unexpected legal rulings that alter turnout or eligibility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour$16,180 Vol.
$16,180 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Christian Menefee (D)
97%
Ronald Whitfield (R)
3%
$16,180 Vol.
$16,180 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Christian Menefee (D)
$14,471 Vol.
97%
Ronald Whitfield (R)
$1,709 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 18th Congressional District in a May 2026 runoff and now holds incumbent status ahead of the November general election. The Houston-area district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, driven by its urban demographics and voting patterns. Ronald Whitfield advanced from the Republican primary but faces structural barriers in a seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins. Trader consensus assigns Menefee overwhelming odds, consistent with historical base rates for similar districts. Potential shifts could stem from major late-cycle developments such as candidate health issues, significant scandals, or unexpected legal rulings that alter turnout or eligibility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Volume
$16,180Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 18th Congressional District in a May 2026 runoff and now holds incumbent status ahead of the November general election. The Houston-area district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, driven by its urban demographics and voting patterns. Ronald Whitfield advanced from the Republican primary but faces structural barriers in a seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins. Trader consensus assigns Menefee overwhelming odds, consistent with historical base rates for similar districts. Potential shifts could stem from major late-cycle developments such as candidate health issues, significant scandals, or unexpected legal rulings that alter turnout or eligibility.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$16,180Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Christian Menefee secured the Democratic nomination for Texas's 18th Congressional District in a May 2026 runoff and now holds incumbent status ahead of the November general election. The Houston-area district maintains a strong Democratic tilt, reflected in its D+21 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent support for Democratic candidates in prior cycles, driven by its urban demographics and voting patterns. Ronald Whitfield advanced from the Republican primary but faces structural barriers in a seat that has favored Democrats by wide margins. Trader consensus assigns Menefee overwhelming odds, consistent with historical base rates for similar districts. Potential shifts could stem from major late-cycle developments such as candidate health issues, significant scandals, or unexpected legal rulings that alter turnout or eligibility.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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