Mary Peltola leads trader consensus in Alaska’s 2026 Senate race after topping the August 18 top-four primary with 49.5% of the vote, ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 41.4%. The race advances to a November 3 general election under ranked-choice voting, where Peltola, Sullivan, Republican Dan J. Sullivan, and Republican Gerald Heikes appear on the ballot following Democrat David Leslie’s withdrawal. Recent polling averages show the contest nearly tied, with Peltola holding narrow edges in some surveys and Sullivan slight leads in others. Traders appear to weigh Peltola’s fundraising advantage, independent reputation, and performance among Alaska’s swing voters against Sullivan’s incumbency and the state’s Republican lean, while minor-candidate vote shares could influence final RCV tabulations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur des élections sénatoriales en Alaska
Vainqueur des élections sénatoriales en Alaska
Mary Peltola 64%
Sén. Dan Sullivan 38%
Richard Grayson <1%
Dustin Darden <1%
$469,721 Vol.
$469,721 Vol.
Mary Peltola
64%
Sén. Dan Sullivan
38%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
David Leslie
<1%
Mary Peltola 64%
Sén. Dan Sullivan 38%
Richard Grayson <1%
Dustin Darden <1%
$469,721 Vol.
$469,721 Vol.
Mary Peltola
64%
Sén. Dan Sullivan
38%
Richard Grayson
<1%
Dustin Darden
<1%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
<1%
Ann Diener
<1%
David Leslie
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Marché ouvert : Oct 13, 2025, 4:41 PM ET
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Résolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Mary Peltola leads trader consensus in Alaska’s 2026 Senate race after topping the August 18 top-four primary with 49.5% of the vote, ahead of incumbent Republican Dan Sullivan at 41.4%. The race advances to a November 3 general election under ranked-choice voting, where Peltola, Sullivan, Republican Dan J. Sullivan, and Republican Gerald Heikes appear on the ballot following Democrat David Leslie’s withdrawal. Recent polling averages show the contest nearly tied, with Peltola holding narrow edges in some surveys and Sullivan slight leads in others. Traders appear to weigh Peltola’s fundraising advantage, independent reputation, and performance among Alaska’s swing voters against Sullivan’s incumbency and the state’s Republican lean, while minor-candidate vote shares could influence final RCV tabulations.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourConnexes
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins va-t-il gagner l'élection du gouverneur de l'Alaska en 2026 ?
Les démocrates vont-ils remporter les élections au Sénat et au poste de gouverneur en Alaska ?
Le nombre total de votes exprimés lors des élections de mi-mandat de 2026 pour le poste de sénateur en Alaska sera-t-il compris entre 290 000 et 305 000 ?
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