No major-party candidates have made formal 2028 presidential announcements as of early August 2026, with only minor FEC filings and exploratory steps recorded. Trader pricing reflects this slow start, assigning single-digit to low-teen probabilities to figures such as Kamala Harris, Mark Kelly, or Rahm Emanuel declaring before 2027. Recent signals include Harris stating in July 2026 that she is “thinking about” a run, alongside scattered exploratory committees. The November 2026 midterms and subsequent party positioning are the next scheduled catalysts that could accelerate or delay early moves, consistent with historical patterns of post-election testing the waters rather than immediate launches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourQui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ?
Qui annoncera la course à la présidence avant 2027 ?
$995,782 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Rahm Emanuel
11%
Kamala Harris
11%
Tucker Carlson
10%
Gavin Newsom
10%
Andy Beshear
10%
Mark Kelly
10%
Pete Buttigieg
10%
Rand Paul
9%
Donald Trump
9%
Stephen A. Smith
9%
Brian Kemp
9%
Don Lemon
8%
Ted Cruz
8%
J.D. Vance
8%
Matt Gaetz
8%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
8%
Steve Bannon
8%
Candace Owens
7%
Gretchen Whitmer
7%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
7%
Raphael Warnock
7%
J.B. Pritzker
6%
Mark Cuban
6%
Josh Shapiro
6%
George Clooney
6%
Greg Abbott
5%
Marco Rubio
5%
Glenn Youngkin
5%
Cory Booker
5%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
5%
Jared Polis
5%
Erika Kirk
5%
Ron DeSantis
5%
Donald Trump Jr.
5%
Vivek Ramaswamy
5%
Gina Raimondo
4%
Oprah Winfrey
4%
Kristi Noem
4%
Hunter Biden
4%
Nikki Haley
4%
Ivanka Trump
4%
Elise Stefanik
4%
John Thune
4%
Elon Musk
4%
Jon Stewart
3%
Jon Ossoff
3%
Wes Moore
3%
MrBeast
3%
Liz Cheney
3%
Zohran Mamdani
3%
Hillary Clinton
3%
Josh Hawley
2%
Kim Kardashian
2%
Beto O’Rourke
2%
Andrew Yang
2%
Tom Brady
2%
Byron Donalds
2%
Barack Obama
2%
John Fetterman
2%
Tulsi Gabbard
2%
Michelle Obama
2%
LeBron James
2%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
2%
Tim Walz
2%
Phil Murphy
1%
Roy Cooper
1%
Chelsea Clinton
1%
Bernie Sanders
1%
Katie Britt
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
1%
Mike Pence
1%
$995,782 Vol.
Rahm Emanuel
$11,034 Vol.
11%
Kamala Harris
$52,857 Vol.
11%
Tucker Carlson
$17,163 Vol.
10%
Gavin Newsom
$62,229 Vol.
10%
Andy Beshear
$9,816 Vol.
10%
Mark Kelly
$8,679 Vol.
10%
Pete Buttigieg
$13,955 Vol.
10%
Rand Paul
$19,279 Vol.
9%
Donald Trump
$57,034 Vol.
9%
Stephen A. Smith
$17,212 Vol.
9%
Brian Kemp
$2,978 Vol.
9%
Don Lemon
$1,846 Vol.
8%
Ted Cruz
$14,972 Vol.
8%
J.D. Vance
$29,279 Vol.
8%
Matt Gaetz
$2,906 Vol.
8%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$20,062 Vol.
8%
Steve Bannon
$15,954 Vol.
8%
Candace Owens
$8,016 Vol.
7%
Gretchen Whitmer
$1,651 Vol.
7%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$42,177 Vol.
7%
Raphael Warnock
$2,929 Vol.
7%
J.B. Pritzker
$3,512 Vol.
6%
Mark Cuban
$8,495 Vol.
6%
Josh Shapiro
$9,699 Vol.
6%
George Clooney
$5,245 Vol.
6%
Greg Abbott
$4,010 Vol.
5%
Marco Rubio
$9,612 Vol.
5%
Glenn Youngkin
$6,021 Vol.
5%
Cory Booker
$15,111 Vol.
5%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$15,155 Vol.
5%
Jared Polis
$5,755 Vol.
5%
Erika Kirk
$23,800 Vol.
5%
Ron DeSantis
$2,365 Vol.
5%
Donald Trump Jr.
$5,583 Vol.
5%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$7,785 Vol.
5%
Gina Raimondo
$4,152 Vol.
4%
Oprah Winfrey
$16,396 Vol.
4%
Kristi Noem
$19,819 Vol.
4%
Hunter Biden
$51,031 Vol.
4%
Nikki Haley
$3,363 Vol.
4%
Ivanka Trump
$33,493 Vol.
4%
Elise Stefanik
$3,705 Vol.
4%
John Thune
$4,586 Vol.
4%
Elon Musk
$9,270 Vol.
4%
Jon Stewart
$3,505 Vol.
3%
Jon Ossoff
$19,702 Vol.
3%
Wes Moore
$6,830 Vol.
3%
MrBeast
$29,152 Vol.
3%
Liz Cheney
$2,844 Vol.
3%
Zohran Mamdani
$35,217 Vol.
3%
Hillary Clinton
$13,992 Vol.
3%
Josh Hawley
$7,892 Vol.
2%
Kim Kardashian
$6,573 Vol.
2%
Beto O’Rourke
$9,613 Vol.
2%
Andrew Yang
$14,255 Vol.
2%
Tom Brady
$9,550 Vol.
2%
Byron Donalds
$10,103 Vol.
2%
Barack Obama
$10,722 Vol.
2%
John Fetterman
$6,934 Vol.
2%
Tulsi Gabbard
$6,160 Vol.
2%
Michelle Obama
$14,346 Vol.
2%
LeBron James
$15,943 Vol.
2%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
$7,616 Vol.
2%
Tim Walz
$5,710 Vol.
2%
Phil Murphy
$3,837 Vol.
1%
Roy Cooper
$6,434 Vol.
1%
Chelsea Clinton
$13,278 Vol.
1%
Bernie Sanders
$3,391 Vol.
1%
Katie Britt
$25,960 Vol.
1%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
$10,695 Vol.
1%
Mike Pence
$15,536 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major-party candidates have made formal 2028 presidential announcements as of early August 2026, with only minor FEC filings and exploratory steps recorded. Trader pricing reflects this slow start, assigning single-digit to low-teen probabilities to figures such as Kamala Harris, Mark Kelly, or Rahm Emanuel declaring before 2027. Recent signals include Harris stating in July 2026 that she is “thinking about” a run, alongside scattered exploratory committees. The November 2026 midterms and subsequent party positioning are the next scheduled catalysts that could accelerate or delay early moves, consistent with historical patterns of post-election testing the waters rather than immediate launches.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ET
Volume
$995,782Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual announces that they are running for President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No major-party candidates have made formal 2028 presidential announcements as of early August 2026, with only minor FEC filings and exploratory steps recorded. Trader pricing reflects this slow start, assigning single-digit to low-teen probabilities to figures such as Kamala Harris, Mark Kelly, or Rahm Emanuel declaring before 2027. Recent signals include Harris stating in July 2026 that she is “thinking about” a run, alongside scattered exploratory committees. The November 2026 midterms and subsequent party positioning are the next scheduled catalysts that could accelerate or delay early moves, consistent with historical patterns of post-election testing the waters rather than immediate launches.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$995,782Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Nov 19, 2025, 6:49 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No major-party candidates have made formal 2028 presidential announcements as of early August 2026, with only minor FEC filings and exploratory steps recorded. Trader pricing reflects this slow start, assigning single-digit to low-teen probabilities to figures such as Kamala Harris, Mark Kelly, or Rahm Emanuel declaring before 2027. Recent signals include Harris stating in July 2026 that she is “thinking about” a run, alongside scattered exploratory committees. The November 2026 midterms and subsequent party positioning are the next scheduled catalysts that could accelerate or delay early moves, consistent with historical patterns of post-election testing the waters rather than immediate launches.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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