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icon for Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Guam

Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Guam

icon for Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Guam

Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Guam

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Therese Terlaje (D)

Therese Terlaje (D)

$671 Vol.

68%

icon for Vicente Ada (R)

Vicente Ada (R)

$395 Vol.

33%

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Therese Terlaje and Vicente Ada advanced from their respective August 1 primaries to face off in the November 3 general election for Guam governor. The Democratic primary proved especially competitive, with Terlaje and running mate Sabina Perez edging Lt. Gov. Joshua Tenorio by roughly 450 votes after heavy spending by the latter. Ada and Edward Calvo secured a clearer Republican primary win. A late-August candidate forum highlighted shared priorities including economic recovery through tourism and workforce programs, childcare affordability, healthcare access, and addressing methamphetamine issues, with differing approaches on taxes and permitting. The narrow market spread reflects Guam’s partisan balance, term-limited incumbent dynamics, and limited general-election polling or major campaign shifts to date, leaving room for developments such as further debates, endorsements, or turnout efforts to widen the gap.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$1,067
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.Therese Terlaje and Vicente Ada advanced from their respective August 1 primaries to face off in the November 3 general election for Guam governor. The Democratic primary proved especially competitive, with Terlaje and running mate Sabina Perez edging Lt. Gov. Joshua Tenorio by roughly 450 votes after heavy spending by the latter. Ada and Edward Calvo secured a clearer Republican primary win. A late-August candidate forum highlighted shared priorities including economic recovery through tourism and workforce programs, childcare affordability, healthcare access, and addressing methamphetamine issues, with differing approaches on taxes and permitting. The narrow market spread reflects Guam’s partisan balance, term-limited incumbent dynamics, and limited general-election polling or major campaign shifts to date, leaving room for developments such as further debates, endorsements, or turnout efforts to widen the gap.

This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party.

If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. The nominees of the Democratic and Republican parties may be named in the contract for the convenience of traders. In the event that any named candidate is replaced as the nominee of their respective party prior to election day, the name in the contract will be updated and the market will resolve based on the replacement nominee of the party. If the results of the election are not definitively known by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the election according to a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the electoral authority responsible for certifying the results of the election.
Volume
$1,067
Date de fin
3 nov. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 4, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...

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Questions fréquentes

« Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Guam » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Therese Terlaje (D) » à 68%, suivi de « Vicente Ada (R) » à 33%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 68¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 68% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Guam » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 4, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Guam », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Guam » est « Therese Terlaje (D) » à 68%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 68% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Vicente Ada (R) » à 33%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Gagnant de l'élection du gouverneur de Guam » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.