Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms through a wave of mid-decade redistricting that began in summer 2025. Republican-led legislatures in states such as Texas, Missouri, North Carolina, and Florida pursued changes to create additional safe Republican seats ahead of the November elections, while California voters approved a ballot measure enabling Democratic-favorable lines. Litigation tied to Voting Rights Act challenges produced new maps in Alabama, Louisiana, and Utah, with the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais reshaping standards for racial gerrymandering claims. Several other states considered or attempted similar redraws but did not finalize them in time. These shifts, the largest coordinated effort outside the post-census cycle in modern history, directly determine which states’ districts reflect updated boundaries when voters cast ballots.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
$380,586 Vol.
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
98%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
91%
Virginia
2%
Alabama
92%
South Carolina
2%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
3%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
6%
Washington
5%
Nebraska
3%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
8%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
$380,586 Vol.
California
96%
Texas
98%
North Carolina
96%
Ohio
98%
Utah
91%
Florida
98%
Louisiana
93%
Missouri
91%
Virginia
2%
Alabama
92%
South Carolina
2%
Georgia
6%
Kansas
3%
New Jersey
4%
Indiana
6%
Washington
5%
Nebraska
3%
Illinois
3%
Minnesota
3%
New York
8%
Maryland
4%
Wisconsin
3%
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Ten states—Alabama, California, Florida, Louisiana, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Tennessee, Texas, and Utah—have enacted new congressional maps for the 2026 midterms through a wave of mid-decade redistricting that began in summer 2025. Republican-led legislatures in states such as Texas, Missouri, North Carolina, and Florida pursued changes to create additional safe Republican seats ahead of the November elections, while California voters approved a ballot measure enabling Democratic-favorable lines. Litigation tied to Voting Rights Act challenges produced new maps in Alabama, Louisiana, and Utah, with the Supreme Court’s ruling in Louisiana v. Callais reshaping standards for racial gerrymandering claims. Several other states considered or attempted similar redraws but did not finalize them in time. These shifts, the largest coordinated effort outside the post-census cycle in modern history, directly determine which states’ districts reflect updated boundaries when voters cast ballots.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour



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