Virginia Democrats advanced a constitutional amendment and new congressional map in early 2026 to enable mid-decade redistricting ahead of the November midterms, with voters approving the measure narrowly in April. The Virginia Supreme Court invalidated the amendment on May 8 for violating procedural requirements under Article XII, and the U.S. Supreme Court declined further review. The 2021 map therefore remains in place, primaries occurred under existing lines on August 4, and candidate filings are complete. This sequence of legislative, electoral, and judicial developments accounts for the strong trader consensus against a new map. Remote possibilities for reversal include an unprecedented late-session legislative override or unforeseen court intervention before Election Day, though both face steep constitutional and calendar barriers.