Virginia’s 2026 congressional elections will use the existing 2021 court-drawn districts after the state Supreme Court invalidated a voter-approved constitutional amendment and new Democratic-drawn map on procedural grounds in May 2026. The U.S. Supreme Court denied an emergency appeal later that month, and state election officials confirmed the status quo for the August primaries and November general election. This sequence of rulings created clear legal finality around mid-decade redistricting, driving trader consensus toward “No” at 96.2%. Realistic shifts remain possible only through highly unlikely successful further litigation or an unforeseen legislative or executive intervention before November, though the compressed timeline and prior court rejections limit such prospects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
4% chance
$69,615 Vol.
$69,615 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Oui
4% chance
$69,615 Vol.
$69,615 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s 2026 congressional elections will use the existing 2021 court-drawn districts after the state Supreme Court invalidated a voter-approved constitutional amendment and new Democratic-drawn map on procedural grounds in May 2026. The U.S. Supreme Court denied an emergency appeal later that month, and state election officials confirmed the status quo for the August primaries and November general election. This sequence of rulings created clear legal finality around mid-decade redistricting, driving trader consensus toward “No” at 96.2%. Realistic shifts remain possible only through highly unlikely successful further litigation or an unforeseen legislative or executive intervention before November, though the compressed timeline and prior court rejections limit such prospects.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ET
Volume
$69,615Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.Virginia’s 2026 congressional elections will use the existing 2021 court-drawn districts after the state Supreme Court invalidated a voter-approved constitutional amendment and new Democratic-drawn map on procedural grounds in May 2026. The U.S. Supreme Court denied an emergency appeal later that month, and state election officials confirmed the status quo for the August primaries and November general election. This sequence of rulings created clear legal finality around mid-decade redistricting, driving trader consensus toward “No” at 96.2%. Realistic shifts remain possible only through highly unlikely successful further litigation or an unforeseen legislative or executive intervention before November, though the compressed timeline and prior court rejections limit such prospects.
The Virginia General Assembly submitted a constitutional amendment to voters for a statewide referendum which, if passed, would allow new congressional districts, drawn in House Bill 29 (HB 29), to be used in the upcoming US House of Representatives midterm elections.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 are used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections scheduled for November 3, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The release of official election materials from the State of Virginia, or an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting, demonstrating that the revised congressional district map drawn in HB 29 definitively will or will not be used to define the congressional districts of Virginia in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections will be sufficient to resolve this market.
The primary resolution sources for this market are official information from the State of Virginia and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$69,615Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Mar 3, 2026, 2:53 PM ETRésolveur
0x65070BE91...Virginia’s 2026 congressional elections will use the existing 2021 court-drawn districts after the state Supreme Court invalidated a voter-approved constitutional amendment and new Democratic-drawn map on procedural grounds in May 2026. The U.S. Supreme Court denied an emergency appeal later that month, and state election officials confirmed the status quo for the August primaries and November general election. This sequence of rulings created clear legal finality around mid-decade redistricting, driving trader consensus toward “No” at 96.2%. Realistic shifts remain possible only through highly unlikely successful further litigation or an unforeseen legislative or executive intervention before November, though the compressed timeline and prior court rejections limit such prospects.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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