Virginia's 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates in House races, reinforced by incumbent James Walkinshaw's decisive 75% victory in the 2025 special election to succeed Gerry Connolly. With the 2026 Democratic primary canceled, Walkinshaw faces Republican Arthur Purves in the November general election. The district's voter demographics, consistent partisan performance, and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge underpin traders' assessment of a strong Democratic position. Potential shifts could arise from significant late-cycle developments, such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or substantial national political realignments affecting turnout in Northern Virginia precincts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre VA-11
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre VA-11
$25,871 Vol.
$25,871 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
2%
$25,871 Vol.
$25,871 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$14,275 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$11,596 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates in House races, reinforced by incumbent James Walkinshaw's decisive 75% victory in the 2025 special election to succeed Gerry Connolly. With the 2026 Democratic primary canceled, Walkinshaw faces Republican Arthur Purves in the November general election. The district's voter demographics, consistent partisan performance, and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge underpin traders' assessment of a strong Democratic position. Potential shifts could arise from significant late-cycle developments, such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or substantial national political realignments affecting turnout in Northern Virginia precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volume
$25,871Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates in House races, reinforced by incumbent James Walkinshaw's decisive 75% victory in the 2025 special election to succeed Gerry Connolly. With the 2026 Democratic primary canceled, Walkinshaw faces Republican Arthur Purves in the November general election. The district's voter demographics, consistent partisan performance, and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge underpin traders' assessment of a strong Democratic position. Potential shifts could arise from significant late-cycle developments, such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or substantial national political realignments affecting turnout in Northern Virginia precincts.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$25,871Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 11th congressional district has long favored Democratic candidates in House races, reinforced by incumbent James Walkinshaw's decisive 75% victory in the 2025 special election to succeed Gerry Connolly. With the 2026 Democratic primary canceled, Walkinshaw faces Republican Arthur Purves in the November general election. The district's voter demographics, consistent partisan performance, and the incumbent's established fundraising and organizational edge underpin traders' assessment of a strong Democratic position. Potential shifts could arise from significant late-cycle developments, such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or substantial national political realignments affecting turnout in Northern Virginia precincts.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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