**Democratic nominee Emanuel Cleaver holds a strong position in Missouri’s 5th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election.** Recent court rulings have blocked implementation of the Republican-drawn mid-decade map that would have shifted the Kansas City-based seat toward a Republican lean by adding rural counties and altering urban boundaries. With the prior lines effectively restored, the district retains its Democratic tilt, consistent with Cleaver’s prior victories and the area’s voting patterns. Cleaver advanced unopposed in the August Democratic primary, while state Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination. Traders’ consensus reflects the map outcome and structural advantages for the incumbent, though general-election results, turnout, and any further legal developments remain key variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MO-05
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre MO-05
$19,322 Vol.
$19,322 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
80%
Parti républicain
19%
$19,322 Vol.
$19,322 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$6,446 Vol.
80%
Parti républicain
$12,876 Vol.
19%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Emanuel Cleaver holds a strong position in Missouri’s 5th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election.**
Recent court rulings have blocked implementation of the Republican-drawn mid-decade map that would have shifted the Kansas City-based seat toward a Republican lean by adding rural counties and altering urban boundaries. With the prior lines effectively restored, the district retains its Democratic tilt, consistent with Cleaver’s prior victories and the area’s voting patterns. Cleaver advanced unopposed in the August Democratic primary, while state Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination. Traders’ consensus reflects the map outcome and structural advantages for the incumbent, though general-election results, turnout, and any further legal developments remain key variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$19,322Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Emanuel Cleaver holds a strong position in Missouri’s 5th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election.**
Recent court rulings have blocked implementation of the Republican-drawn mid-decade map that would have shifted the Kansas City-based seat toward a Republican lean by adding rural counties and altering urban boundaries. With the prior lines effectively restored, the district retains its Democratic tilt, consistent with Cleaver’s prior victories and the area’s voting patterns. Cleaver advanced unopposed in the August Democratic primary, while state Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination. Traders’ consensus reflects the map outcome and structural advantages for the incumbent, though general-election results, turnout, and any further legal developments remain key variables.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$19,322Date de fin
4 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...**Democratic nominee Emanuel Cleaver holds a strong position in Missouri’s 5th Congressional District heading into the November 2026 general election.** Recent court rulings have blocked implementation of the Republican-drawn mid-decade map that would have shifted the Kansas City-based seat toward a Republican lean by adding rural counties and altering urban boundaries. With the prior lines effectively restored, the district retains its Democratic tilt, consistent with Cleaver’s prior victories and the area’s voting patterns. Cleaver advanced unopposed in the August Democratic primary, while state Sen. Rick Brattin secured the Republican nomination. Traders’ consensus reflects the map outcome and structural advantages for the incumbent, though general-election results, turnout, and any further legal developments remain key variables.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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