Missouri’s 6th Congressional District maintains a longstanding Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves has opened the seat for the first time in over two decades, sparking a contested Republican primary ahead of the August 4 vote among several contenders. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Traders price the outcome accordingly, viewing the district’s rural northern Missouri voter base and partisan patterns as durable advantages. A Democratic victory would require an unusually favorable national environment or major local shifts capable of overcoming structural headwinds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMO-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MO-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$28,057 Vol.
$28,057 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
92%
Parti démocrate
8%
$28,057 Vol.
$28,057 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$22,502 Vol.
92%
Parti démocrate
$5,555 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th Congressional District maintains a longstanding Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves has opened the seat for the first time in over two decades, sparking a contested Republican primary ahead of the August 4 vote among several contenders. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Traders price the outcome accordingly, viewing the district’s rural northern Missouri voter base and partisan patterns as durable advantages. A Democratic victory would require an unusually favorable national environment or major local shifts capable of overcoming structural headwinds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$28,057Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th Congressional District maintains a longstanding Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves has opened the seat for the first time in over two decades, sparking a contested Republican primary ahead of the August 4 vote among several contenders. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Traders price the outcome accordingly, viewing the district’s rural northern Missouri voter base and partisan patterns as durable advantages. A Democratic victory would require an unusually favorable national environment or major local shifts capable of overcoming structural headwinds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$28,057Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 6th Congressional District maintains a longstanding Republican tilt, reflected in its R+13 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit GOP margins in recent cycles. The retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves has opened the seat for the first time in over two decades, sparking a contested Republican primary ahead of the August 4 vote among several contenders. Forecasters across Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the general election Solid or Safe Republican. Traders price the outcome accordingly, viewing the district’s rural northern Missouri voter base and partisan patterns as durable advantages. A Democratic victory would require an unusually favorable national environment or major local shifts capable of overcoming structural headwinds.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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