Missouri's 6th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves, with the open race not shifting the district's established partisan lean. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the August 4 primary, while Democratic contenders advance through their own primary in the same cycle ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid for Republicans based on consistent historical margins and district composition. A divisive primary outcome or significant national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited realistic paths for a Democratic victory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMO-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$28,522 Vol.
$28,522 Vol.
Parti républicain
92%
Parti démocrate
8%
$28,522 Vol.
$28,522 Vol.
Parti républicain
92%
Parti démocrate
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 6th Congressional District remains a solidly Republican seat following the retirement of longtime incumbent Sam Graves, with the open race not shifting the district's established partisan lean. Multiple Republican candidates are competing in the August 4 primary, while Democratic contenders advance through their own primary in the same cycle ahead of the November general election. Forecasters rate the contest as safe or solid for Republicans based on consistent historical margins and district composition. A divisive primary outcome or significant national political realignment could theoretically narrow the gap, though current conditions point to limited realistic paths for a Democratic victory.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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