Missouri’s 6th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in the 92.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the 2026 election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 to R+19, consistent presidential voting patterns, and rural northern Missouri demographics have produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Sam Graves’s March 2026 retirement opened the seat for the first time in 26 years, prompting a competitive August 4 Republican primary among candidates including Chris Stigall, yet the general-election environment continues to favor the eventual GOP nominee. Democratic primary contenders face structural barriers in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2001. Late developments such as a national Democratic wave or primary upset producing an unusually weak Republican nominee could narrow the margin, though current conditions indicate limited pathways for reversal before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMO-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MO-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$29,268 Vol.
$29,268 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
93%
Parti démocrate
8%
$29,268 Vol.
$29,268 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$23,619 Vol.
93%
Parti démocrate
$5,649 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in the 92.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the 2026 election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 to R+19, consistent presidential voting patterns, and rural northern Missouri demographics have produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Sam Graves’s March 2026 retirement opened the seat for the first time in 26 years, prompting a competitive August 4 Republican primary among candidates including Chris Stigall, yet the general-election environment continues to favor the eventual GOP nominee. Democratic primary contenders face structural barriers in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2001. Late developments such as a national Democratic wave or primary upset producing an unusually weak Republican nominee could narrow the margin, though current conditions indicate limited pathways for reversal before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$29,268Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in the 92.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the 2026 election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 to R+19, consistent presidential voting patterns, and rural northern Missouri demographics have produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Sam Graves’s March 2026 retirement opened the seat for the first time in 26 years, prompting a competitive August 4 Republican primary among candidates including Chris Stigall, yet the general-election environment continues to favor the eventual GOP nominee. Democratic primary contenders face structural barriers in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2001. Late developments such as a national Democratic wave or primary upset producing an unusually weak Republican nominee could narrow the margin, though current conditions indicate limited pathways for reversal before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,268Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 6th Congressional District remains a strongly Republican seat, reflected in the 92.5% trader consensus for the Republican nominee in the 2026 election. The district’s Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 to R+19, consistent presidential voting patterns, and rural northern Missouri demographics have produced double-digit Republican margins in recent cycles. Sam Graves’s March 2026 retirement opened the seat for the first time in 26 years, prompting a competitive August 4 Republican primary among candidates including Chris Stigall, yet the general-election environment continues to favor the eventual GOP nominee. Democratic primary contenders face structural barriers in a district where Republicans have held the seat since 2001. Late developments such as a national Democratic wave or primary upset producing an unusually weak Republican nominee could narrow the margin, though current conditions indicate limited pathways for reversal before November.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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