Missouri’s 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. The open seat following longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement drew multiple Republican primary contenders, with radio host Chris Stigall securing the nomination on August 4 after endorsements from Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. Democrat Josh Smead won his party’s primary but faces limited name recognition and fundraising relative to the district’s partisan baseline. Trader pricing at 94.5% for a Republican winner aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the outlook. A significant national Democratic wave, unusually low Republican turnout, or late-breaking issues involving the GOP nominee remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMO-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MO-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$42,533 Vol.
$42,533 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
95%
Parti démocrate
6%
$42,533 Vol.
$42,533 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti républicain
$27,128 Vol.
95%
Parti démocrate
$15,404 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. The open seat following longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement drew multiple Republican primary contenders, with radio host Chris Stigall securing the nomination on August 4 after endorsements from Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. Democrat Josh Smead won his party’s primary but faces limited name recognition and fundraising relative to the district’s partisan baseline. Trader pricing at 94.5% for a Republican winner aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the outlook. A significant national Democratic wave, unusually low Republican turnout, or late-breaking issues involving the GOP nominee remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$42,533Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri’s 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. The open seat following longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement drew multiple Republican primary contenders, with radio host Chris Stigall securing the nomination on August 4 after endorsements from Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. Democrat Josh Smead won his party’s primary but faces limited name recognition and fundraising relative to the district’s partisan baseline. Trader pricing at 94.5% for a Republican winner aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the outlook. A significant national Democratic wave, unusually low Republican turnout, or late-breaking issues involving the GOP nominee remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$42,533Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 6th congressional district carries a strong Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and consistent Solid or Safe Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. The open seat following longtime incumbent Sam Graves’s retirement drew multiple Republican primary contenders, with radio host Chris Stigall securing the nomination on August 4 after endorsements from Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. Democrat Josh Smead won his party’s primary but faces limited name recognition and fundraising relative to the district’s partisan baseline. Trader pricing at 94.5% for a Republican winner aligns with these fundamentals and the absence of major recent developments that would shift the outlook. A significant national Democratic wave, unusually low Republican turnout, or late-breaking issues involving the GOP nominee remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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