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Politique·Primaires

Vainqueurs principaux WA-05

icon for Vainqueurs principaux WA-05
Politique·Primaires

Vainqueurs principaux WA-05

NOUVEAU
4 août 2026
Polymarket

$328 Vol.

Polymarket

Michael Baumgartner

$67 Vol.

93%

Carmela Conroy

$0 Vol.

89%

Ann Marie Danimus

$33 Vol.

16%

David Womack

$53 Vol.

13%

Matthew Hayes

$18 Vol.

12%

Kyle Ursey

$27 Vol.

11%

Bajun Mavalwalla

$54 Vol.

11%

Andrew Bartleson

$0 Vol.

10%

Kevin Fagan

$66 Vol.

9%

Nate Powell

$12 Vol.

9%

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s August 4 top-two primary for the 5th congressional district features incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner seeking a second term against a crowded field that includes Democrat Carmela Conroy, who lost to him by roughly 21 points in 2024, plus several other Democrats and independents. The district’s eastern Washington footprint has consistently favored Republicans, reflected in Baumgartner’s substantial fundraising edge and a recent poll showing him well ahead. Under Washington’s system, the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party, so vote-splitting among Democratic challengers could determine whether Conroy secures the second spot. No major late developments have altered the candidate lineup since the May filing deadline.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$328
Date de fin
4 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.Washington’s August 4 top-two primary for the 5th congressional district features incumbent Republican Michael Baumgartner seeking a second term against a crowded field that includes Democrat Carmela Conroy, who lost to him by roughly 21 points in 2024, plus several other Democrats and independents. The district’s eastern Washington footprint has consistently favored Republicans, reflected in Baumgartner’s substantial fundraising edge and a recent poll showing him well ahead. Under Washington’s system, the two highest vote-getters advance regardless of party, so vote-splitting among Democratic challengers could determine whether Conroy secures the second spot. No major late developments have altered the candidate lineup since the May filing deadline.

The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.

If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”

This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.
Volume
$328
Date de fin
4 août 2026
Marché ouvert
Jul 20, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The non-partisan primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives is scheduled to take place on August 4, 2026. The two candidates who receive the most votes in this primary election will qualify for the General Election. This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for the WA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. If no 2026 WA-05 congressional district primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.” This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for the WA-05 congressional district seat, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Washington, specifically the Washington Office of the Secretary of State.

Connexes

icon for Will Amanda McKinney advance to the general election for WA-04?

Will Amanda McKinney advance to the general election for WA-04?

95%
icon for John Braun va-t-il accéder à l'élection générale pour WA-03 ?

John Braun va-t-il accéder à l'élection générale pour WA-03 ?

99%
Oui
icon for Suzan DelBene avancera-t-elle à l'élection générale pour WA-01 ?

Suzan DelBene avancera-t-elle à l'élection générale pour WA-01 ?

93%
Oui

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Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueurs principaux WA-05 » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 10 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Michael Baumgartner » à 93%, suivi de « Carmela Conroy » à 89%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 93¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 93% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueurs principaux WA-05 » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Jul 20, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueurs principaux WA-05 », parcourez les 10 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueurs principaux WA-05 » est « Michael Baumgartner » à 93%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 93% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Carmela Conroy » à 89%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueurs principaux WA-05 » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.