Incumbent Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida's 18th congressional district race, where the solidly Republican lean and his 2024 reelection margin of 65.3% underpin trader consensus around 92% odds. Franklin's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $850,000 with strong PAC support, contrasts sharply with challenger Curtis Gibson's limited resources under $15,000, while forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent activity securing district funding and advancing bipartisan measures on AI and appropriations has reinforced his profile ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include major late-cycle national headwinds for Republicans, unexpected scandals, or significant turnout swings, though primaries were canceled and no competitive Democratic infrastructure has emerged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-18
Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre FL-18
$37,179 Vol.
$37,179 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Scott Franklin (R)
92%
Curtis Gibson (D)
9%
$37,179 Vol.
$37,179 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Scott Franklin (R)
$23,423 Vol.
92%
Curtis Gibson (D)
$13,757 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida's 18th congressional district race, where the solidly Republican lean and his 2024 reelection margin of 65.3% underpin trader consensus around 92% odds. Franklin's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $850,000 with strong PAC support, contrasts sharply with challenger Curtis Gibson's limited resources under $15,000, while forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent activity securing district funding and advancing bipartisan measures on AI and appropriations has reinforced his profile ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include major late-cycle national headwinds for Republicans, unexpected scandals, or significant turnout swings, though primaries were canceled and no competitive Democratic infrastructure has emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$37,179Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida's 18th congressional district race, where the solidly Republican lean and his 2024 reelection margin of 65.3% underpin trader consensus around 92% odds. Franklin's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $850,000 with strong PAC support, contrasts sharply with challenger Curtis Gibson's limited resources under $15,000, while forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent activity securing district funding and advancing bipartisan measures on AI and appropriations has reinforced his profile ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include major late-cycle national headwinds for Republicans, unexpected scandals, or significant turnout swings, though primaries were canceled and no competitive Democratic infrastructure has emerged.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$37,179Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Scott Franklin holds a commanding position in Florida's 18th congressional district race, where the solidly Republican lean and his 2024 reelection margin of 65.3% underpin trader consensus around 92% odds. Franklin's substantial fundraising edge, exceeding $850,000 with strong PAC support, contrasts sharply with challenger Curtis Gibson's limited resources under $15,000, while forecasters rate the seat Safe or Solid Republican. Recent activity securing district funding and advancing bipartisan measures on AI and appropriations has reinforced his profile ahead of the November 3 general election. Scenarios that could shift outcomes include major late-cycle national headwinds for Republicans, unexpected scandals, or significant turnout swings, though primaries were canceled and no competitive Democratic infrastructure has emerged.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes