Incumbent Democratic Representative Bill Foster secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in Illinois' 11th congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+6, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and contributing to nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic probability aligns with the district's partisan baseline and limited general-election competitiveness. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would likely require a significant national political shift, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout in suburban and collar-county areas.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourVainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre IL-11
$12,020 Vol.
$12,020 Vol.
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
7%
$12,020 Vol.
$12,020 Vol.
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Bill Foster secured his party's nomination without opposition in the March 2026 primary and enters the November general election as the clear favorite in Illinois' 11th congressional district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+6, reflecting consistent Democratic performance in recent presidential cycles and contributing to nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as solid or safe Democratic. Republican nominee Jeffrey Walter emerged from a contested primary but faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democrats by double-digit margins in recent cycles. Trader consensus reflected in the 92.5% Democratic probability aligns with the district's partisan baseline and limited general-election competitiveness. Late developments capable of narrowing the gap would likely require a significant national political shift, an unforeseen scandal, or unusually low Democratic turnout in suburban and collar-county areas.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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