Incumbent Democrat Richard Neal’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and unanimous race ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Neal, first elected in 1988 and current Ways and Means chair, faces only a primary challenge from Jeromie Whalen ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary, while general-election opposition remains limited to unenrolled candidates. Massachusetts has not elected a Republican to the House since 1994, and no major shifts in voter registration or polling have emerged. A Democratic primary upset or late-breaking development such as Neal’s withdrawal due to health or scandal could still alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMA-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MA-01 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$12,958 Vol.
$12,958 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
94%
Parti républicain
7%
$12,958 Vol.
$12,958 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$7,946 Vol.
94%
Parti républicain
$5,012 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Richard Neal’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and unanimous race ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Neal, first elected in 1988 and current Ways and Means chair, faces only a primary challenge from Jeromie Whalen ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary, while general-election opposition remains limited to unenrolled candidates. Massachusetts has not elected a Republican to the House since 1994, and no major shifts in voter registration or polling have emerged. A Democratic primary upset or late-breaking development such as Neal’s withdrawal due to health or scandal could still alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$12,958Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Richard Neal’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and unanimous race ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Neal, first elected in 1988 and current Ways and Means chair, faces only a primary challenge from Jeromie Whalen ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary, while general-election opposition remains limited to unenrolled candidates. Massachusetts has not elected a Republican to the House since 1994, and no major shifts in voter registration or polling have emerged. A Democratic primary upset or late-breaking development such as Neal’s withdrawal due to health or scandal could still alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$12,958Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Richard Neal’s long tenure and the district’s consistent Democratic lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+8 and unanimous race ratings of Solid or Safe Democratic, underpin trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Neal, first elected in 1988 and current Ways and Means chair, faces only a primary challenge from Jeromie Whalen ahead of the September 1, 2026 primary, while general-election opposition remains limited to unenrolled candidates. Massachusetts has not elected a Republican to the House since 1994, and no major shifts in voter registration or polling have emerged. A Democratic primary upset or late-breaking development such as Neal’s withdrawal due to health or scandal could still alter the outcome before November 3, 2026.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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