The commanding Democratic position in the MA-06 House race stems primarily from the district’s strong partisan lean in northeastern Massachusetts, where Democrats have held the seat for years and the area consistently delivers large margins in federal contests. With incumbent Seth Moulton retiring to run for Senate, the open seat has drawn a crowded Democratic primary featuring multiple well-funded candidates ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republican options remain limited and under-resourced. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid Democratic, aligning with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unexpected national Republican surge, a major Democratic scandal emerging before November 3, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though these face steep structural barriers in the current environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MA-06 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$14,691 Vol.
$14,691 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
93%
Parti républicain
4%
$14,691 Vol.
$14,691 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$6,787 Vol.
93%
Parti républicain
$7,903 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding Democratic position in the MA-06 House race stems primarily from the district’s strong partisan lean in northeastern Massachusetts, where Democrats have held the seat for years and the area consistently delivers large margins in federal contests. With incumbent Seth Moulton retiring to run for Senate, the open seat has drawn a crowded Democratic primary featuring multiple well-funded candidates ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republican options remain limited and under-resourced. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid Democratic, aligning with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unexpected national Republican surge, a major Democratic scandal emerging before November 3, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though these face steep structural barriers in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$14,691Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding Democratic position in the MA-06 House race stems primarily from the district’s strong partisan lean in northeastern Massachusetts, where Democrats have held the seat for years and the area consistently delivers large margins in federal contests. With incumbent Seth Moulton retiring to run for Senate, the open seat has drawn a crowded Democratic primary featuring multiple well-funded candidates ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republican options remain limited and under-resourced. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid Democratic, aligning with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unexpected national Republican surge, a major Democratic scandal emerging before November 3, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though these face steep structural barriers in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$14,691Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The commanding Democratic position in the MA-06 House race stems primarily from the district’s strong partisan lean in northeastern Massachusetts, where Democrats have held the seat for years and the area consistently delivers large margins in federal contests. With incumbent Seth Moulton retiring to run for Senate, the open seat has drawn a crowded Democratic primary featuring multiple well-funded candidates ahead of the September 1 contest, while Republican options remain limited and under-resourced. Nonpartisan ratings classify the district as Solid Democratic, aligning with the wisdom of crowds reflected in current market pricing. Scenarios that could realistically shift odds include an unexpected national Republican surge, a major Democratic scandal emerging before November 3, or unusually low Democratic turnout, though these face steep structural barriers in the current environment.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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