Katherine Clark, the longtime Democratic incumbent and House leadership figure, anchors the overwhelming trader consensus in Massachusetts’s 5th district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat’s deep partisan tilt—reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+24—combined with Clark’s prior general-election margins above 98 percent and strong fundraising, leaves little room for Republican inroads. A September 1 Democratic primary features two challengers, yet forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic with no meaningful shift in recent cycles. The lone Republican nominee, a local official, faces structural barriers in a district encompassing progressive strongholds around Cambridge, Framingham, and Medford. Only an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current implied probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourMA-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
MA-05 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$26,921 Vol.
$26,921 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
96%
Parti républicain
25%
$26,921 Vol.
$26,921 Vol.
3 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$17,849 Vol.
96%
Parti républicain
$9,073 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Katherine Clark, the longtime Democratic incumbent and House leadership figure, anchors the overwhelming trader consensus in Massachusetts’s 5th district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat’s deep partisan tilt—reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+24—combined with Clark’s prior general-election margins above 98 percent and strong fundraising, leaves little room for Republican inroads. A September 1 Democratic primary features two challengers, yet forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic with no meaningful shift in recent cycles. The lone Republican nominee, a local official, faces structural barriers in a district encompassing progressive strongholds around Cambridge, Framingham, and Medford. Only an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$26,921Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Katherine Clark, the longtime Democratic incumbent and House leadership figure, anchors the overwhelming trader consensus in Massachusetts’s 5th district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat’s deep partisan tilt—reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+24—combined with Clark’s prior general-election margins above 98 percent and strong fundraising, leaves little room for Republican inroads. A September 1 Democratic primary features two challengers, yet forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic with no meaningful shift in recent cycles. The lone Republican nominee, a local official, faces structural barriers in a district encompassing progressive strongholds around Cambridge, Framingham, and Medford. Only an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$26,921Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Katherine Clark, the longtime Democratic incumbent and House leadership figure, anchors the overwhelming trader consensus in Massachusetts’s 5th district ahead of the November 2026 general election. The seat’s deep partisan tilt—reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index exceeding D+24—combined with Clark’s prior general-election margins above 98 percent and strong fundraising, leaves little room for Republican inroads. A September 1 Democratic primary features two challengers, yet forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic with no meaningful shift in recent cycles. The lone Republican nominee, a local official, faces structural barriers in a district encompassing progressive strongholds around Cambridge, Framingham, and Medford. Only an unforeseen late development, such as a major scandal or health event affecting the incumbent, would realistically alter the current implied probability.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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